ESEN
← League Two 2020-21

Bradford

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLDL

Points

59

Points expected by the market

61.87

Gap

−2.87

Yield

−12.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 8 9.04 −1.04 −29.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 37 48 49.11 −1.11 −12.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 4 3 3.72 −0.72 +4.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Colchester · Home12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 D 0-0 2.43 1.45 1 −0.45 −0.45 −€1.00
M2 Forest Green · Away19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 D 2-2 3.31 1.15 1 −0.15 −0.60 −€1.00
M3 Stevenage · Home26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 W 2-1 2.20 1.57 3 +1.43 +0.83 +€1.20
M4 Harrogate · Home12 Oct 2020 12 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.65 1.34 0 −1.34 −0.51 −€1.00
M5 Mansfield · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 W 3-1 3.04 1.21 3 +1.79 +1.28 +€2.04
M6 Walsall · Home20 Oct 2020 20 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.46 1.44 1 −0.44 +0.84 −€1.00
M7 Newport County · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 L 0-3 2.73 1.32 0 −1.32 −0.49 −€1.00
M8 Bolton · Away27 Oct 2020 27 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.42 1.44 0 −1.44 −1.93 −€1.00
M9 Barrow · Away31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.71 1.33 0 −1.33 −3.26 −€1.00
M10 Southend · Home3 Nov 2020 3 Nov 2020 W 3-0 1.51 2.10 3 +0.90 −2.36 +€0.51
M11 Exeter · Home14 Nov 2020 14 Nov 2020 D 2-2 2.79 1.29 1 −0.29 −2.65 −€1.00
M12 Salford · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 L 0-3 3.37 1.11 0 −1.11 −3.76 −€1.00
M13 Leyton Orient · Away24 Nov 2020 24 Nov 2020 L 0-1 2.86 1.27 0 −1.27 −5.03 −€1.00
M14 Cheltenham · Home1 Dec 2020 1 Dec 2020 L 1-2 3.29 1.14 0 −1.14 −6.16 −€1.00
M15 Carlisle · Home5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 0-1 3.52 1.08 0 −1.08 −7.24 −€1.00
M16 Oldham · Away12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 L 1-3 2.87 1.26 0 −1.26 −8.50 −€1.00
M17 Crawley Town · Away15 Dec 2020 15 Dec 2020 D 1-1 3.28 1.12 1 −0.12 −8.62 −€1.00
M18 Cambridge · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 W 1-0 2.58 1.38 3 +1.62 −7.00 +€1.58
M19 Grimsby · Away22 Dec 2020 22 Dec 2020 W 2-1 2.32 1.50 3 +1.50 −5.50 +€1.32
M20 Tranmere · Away26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 W 1-0 2.85 1.28 3 +1.72 −3.78 +€1.85
M21 Port Vale · Home29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 D 0-0 2.31 1.51 1 −0.51 −4.29 −€1.00
M22 Cambridge · Away23 Jan 2021 23 Jan 2021 D 0-0 2.87 1.27 1 −0.27 −4.55 −€1.00
M23 Southend · Away26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 W 3-1 2.22 1.56 3 +1.44 −3.11 +€1.22
M24 Barrow · Home30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 W 2-1 2.22 1.55 3 +1.45 −1.67 +€1.22
M25 Exeter · Away6 Feb 2021 6 Feb 2021 L 2-3 3.49 1.09 0 −1.09 −2.76 −€1.00
M26 Morecambe · Home16 Feb 2021 16 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.38 1.47 3 +1.53 −1.23 +€1.38
M27 Cheltenham · Away20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 W 2-0 4.17 0.95 3 +2.05 +0.82 +€3.17
M28 Leyton Orient · Home23 Feb 2021 23 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.24 1.54 3 +1.46 +2.28 +€1.24
M29 Walsall · Away27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.58 1.38 3 +1.62 +3.90 +€1.58
M30 Mansfield · Home2 Mar 2021 2 Mar 2021 W 1-0 2.66 1.36 3 +1.64 +5.54 +€1.66
M31 Bolton · Home6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 D 1-1 2.73 1.34 1 −0.34 +5.20 −€1.00
M32 Newport County · Away9 Mar 2021 9 Mar 2021 L 1-2 3.28 1.16 0 −1.16 +4.03 −€1.00
M33 Carlisle · Away13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 L 1-3 3.17 1.19 0 −1.19 +2.85 −€1.00
M34 Oldham · Home20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 D 0-0 1.87 1.77 1 −0.77 +2.07 −€1.00
M35 Scunthorpe · Away23 Mar 2021 23 Mar 2021 L 0-2 2.56 1.40 0 −1.40 +0.67 −€1.00
M36 Colchester · Away27 Mar 2021 27 Mar 2021 W 2-1 2.58 1.40 3 +1.60 +2.27 +€1.58
M37 Forest Green · Home2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 W 4-1 2.56 1.41 3 +1.59 +3.86 +€1.56
M38 Stevenage · Away5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 D 1-1 3.46 1.12 1 −0.12 +3.75 −€1.00
M39 Grimsby · Home10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 W 1-0 2.04 1.67 3 +1.33 +5.08 +€1.04
M40 Crawley Town · Home13 Apr 2021 13 Apr 2021 L 0-2 2.02 1.67 0 −1.67 +3.42 −€1.00
M41 Harrogate · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 L 1-2 2.84 1.28 0 −1.28 +2.13 −€1.00
M42 Tranmere · Home20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 L 0-1 2.79 1.30 0 −1.30 +0.83 −€1.00
M43 Port Vale · Away24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 L 1-2 3.23 1.17 0 −1.17 −0.34 −€1.00
M44 Salford · Home27 Apr 2021 27 Apr 2021 L 0-1 4.22 0.95 0 −0.95 −1.28 −€1.00
M45 Scunthorpe · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 D 0-0 1.79 1.84 1 −0.84 −2.12 −€1.00
M46 Morecambe · Away8 May 2021 8 May 2021 L 0-2 5.47 0.75 0 −0.75 −2.87 −€1.00
Total 61.87 59 −2.87 −€5.85