Points
80Points expected by the market
66.51Gap
+13.49Yield
+31.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −6.41 | −49.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 31 | 64 | +20.99 | +66.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.09 | −11.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −4.56 | −44.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 28 | +9.29 | +69.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 36 | +11.70 | +63.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.09 | −11.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Carlisle · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.50 |
| M2 | Morecambe · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.25 |
| M3 | Tranmere · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.62 |
| M4 | Exeter · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.64 |
| M5 | Newport County · Home10 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +3.44 |
| M6 | Scunthorpe · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.96 |
| M7 | Port Vale · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.39 |
| M8 | Bolton · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +5.58 |
| M9 | Walsall · Away27 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +7.28 |
| M10 | Crawley Town · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +5.88 |
| M11 | Salford · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +7.47 |
| M12 | Barrow · Home14 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +6.89 |
| M13 | Cheltenham · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +6.75 |
| M14 | Mansfield · Home2 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +5.05 |
| M15 | Oldham · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +3.39 |
| M16 | Forest Green · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.26 |
| M17 | Colchester · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.48 |
| M18 | Bradford · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +2.14 |
| M19 | Leyton Orient · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.68 |
| M20 | Stevenage · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.17 |
| M21 | Grimsby · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.69 |
| M22 | Harrogate · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.16 |
| M23 | Colchester · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.60 |
| M24 | Southend · Away19 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +6.06 |
| M25 | Bradford · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.62 |
| M26 | Crawley Town · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +7.19 |
| M27 | Barrow · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +8.93 |
| M28 | Salford · Away9 Feb 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +7.92 |
| M29 | Southend · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +7.09 |
| M30 | Mansfield · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +9.02 |
| M31 | Cheltenham · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +7.79 |
| M32 | Port Vale · Away27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +9.47 |
| M33 | Scunthorpe · Home2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | +7.89 |
| M34 | Walsall · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +9.22 |
| M35 | Bolton · Away9 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +8.19 |
| M36 | Oldham · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.50 | +9.69 |
| M37 | Forest Green · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +11.23 |
| M38 | Carlisle · Away27 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +13.04 |
| M39 | Morecambe · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +14.55 |
| M40 | Tranmere · Away5 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +14.31 |
| M41 | Exeter · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.40 | +12.90 |
| M42 | Newport County · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +14.63 |
| M43 | Leyton Orient · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +16.24 |
| M44 | Stevenage · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +14.35 |
| M45 | Harrogate · Away30 Apr 2021 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.85 | +12.50 |
| M46 | Grimsby · Home8 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +13.49 |
| Total | 80 | +13.49 | |||