Points
66Points expected by the market
71.31Gap
−5.31Yield
−13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 34 | −2.91 | −19.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 31 | −2.40 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 29 | −1.37 | −12.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.26 | +64.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.54 | −48.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 19 | −5.65 | −28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cambridge · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | Southend · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.04 |
| M3 | Scunthorpe · Away26 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.40 |
| M4 | Barrow · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.14 |
| M5 | Port Vale · Away10 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.01 |
| M6 | Colchester · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.47 |
| M7 | Oldham · Away20 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +2.91 |
| M8 | Grimsby · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.26 |
| M9 | Morecambe · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.31 |
| M10 | Exeter · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +2.09 |
| M11 | Newport County · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.80 |
| M12 | Cheltenham · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +2.36 |
| M13 | Crawley Town · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.89 |
| M14 | Tranmere · Away24 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.40 |
| M15 | Salford · Home2 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.79 |
| M16 | Bradford · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +5.14 |
| M17 | Stevenage · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +6.10 |
| M18 | Mansfield · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +7.29 |
| M19 | Forest Green · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +5.93 |
| M20 | Bolton · Home26 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.85 | +5.08 |
| M21 | Walsall · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +6.72 |
| M22 | Exeter · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +8.10 |
| M23 | Forest Green · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +6.37 |
| M24 | Harrogate · Away16 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +4.87 |
| M25 | Salford · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.49 |
| M26 | Tranmere · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +2.79 |
| M27 | Oldham · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.88 | +0.91 |
| M28 | Colchester · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.77 |
| M29 | Morecambe · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.18 |
| M30 | Grimsby · Home9 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −3.15 |
| M31 | Bradford · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −1.66 |
| M32 | Mansfield · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.90 |
| M33 | Stevenage · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.32 |
| M34 | Leyton Orient · Home23 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.97 |
| M35 | Cambridge · Home27 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −6.48 |
| M36 | Crawley Town · Home30 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −5.16 |
| M37 | Southend · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.70 |
| M38 | Scunthorpe · Home6 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −2.50 |
| M39 | Barrow · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.99 |
| M40 | Newport County · Away13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.32 |
| M41 | Port Vale · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.90 |
| M42 | Bolton · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.09 |
| M43 | Harrogate · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −5.90 |
| M44 | Cheltenham · Away27 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −5.91 |
| M45 | Leyton Orient · Away1 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −4.45 |
| M46 | Walsall · Home8 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | −5.31 |
| Total | 66 | −5.31 | |||