← League Two 2020-21

Cheltenham

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWDLW

Points

Points expected by the market

76.52

Gap

+5.48

Yield

+10.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.15	+0.85	+45.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	27	45	48.89	−3.89	−11.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	18	34	25.47	+8.53	+42.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.15	+0.85	+45.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	18	31	33.14	−2.14	−10.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	10	5.84	+4.16	+88.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	14	15.75	−1.75	−12.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	24	19.63	+4.37	+29.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Morecambe · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	L 1-2	1.84	1.80	0	−1.80	−1.80	−€1.00
M2	Tranmere · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	W 3-0	2.82	1.30	3	+1.70	−0.10	+€1.82
M3	Leyton Orient · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	W 2-0	2.31	1.50	3	+1.50	+1.41	+€1.31
M4	Crawley Town · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.88	1.76	3	+1.24	+2.65	+€0.88
M5	Grimsby · Home13 Oct 2020	13 Oct 2020	L 1-3	1.53	2.07	0	−2.07	+0.58	−€1.00
M6	Southend · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.62	1.98	3	+1.02	+1.60	+€0.62
M7	Scunthorpe · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	W 1-0	1.57	2.03	3	+0.97	+2.57	+€0.57
M8	Mansfield · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 0-0	1.87	1.77	1	−0.77	+1.80	−€1.00
M9	Port Vale · Away27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	L 1-2	2.63	1.36	0	−1.36	+0.43	−€1.00
M10	Forest Green · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	W 2-1	2.73	1.33	3	+1.67	+2.10	+€1.73
M11	Oldham · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	L 1-2	1.81	1.81	0	−1.81	+0.29	−€1.00
M12	Carlisle · Away14 Nov 2020	14 Nov 2020	W 2-1	2.84	1.28	3	+1.72	+2.01	+€1.84
M13	Walsall · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 3-0	2.02	1.68	3	+1.32	+3.34	+€1.02
M14	Cambridge · Home24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.19	1.57	1	−0.57	+2.76	−€1.00
M15	Bradford · Away1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.16	1.58	3	+1.42	+4.18	+€1.16
M16	Exeter · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 5-3	2.38	1.46	3	+1.54	+5.72	+€1.38
M17	Salford · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	D 0-0	2.46	1.43	1	−0.43	+5.29	−€1.00
M18	Bolton · Home15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	L 0-1	1.69	1.91	0	−1.91	+3.37	−€1.00
M19	Barrow · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-3	2.14	1.59	0	−1.59	+1.78	−€1.00
M20	Stevenage · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.57	2.03	1	−1.03	+0.75	−€1.00
M21	Colchester · Away29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	D 0-0	1.74	1.87	1	−0.87	−0.12	−€1.00
M22	Bolton · Away16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	D 1-1	2.49	1.41	1	−0.41	−0.53	−€1.00
M23	Newport County · Home19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	D 1-1	2.21	1.57	1	−0.57	−1.10	−€1.00
M24	Oldham · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	W 2-0	1.83	1.81	3	+1.19	+0.09	+€0.83
M25	Forest Green · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 0-0	2.56	1.40	1	−0.40	−0.31	−€1.00
M26	Harrogate · Away9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.29	1.52	3	+1.48	+1.17	+€1.29
M27	Walsall · Away16 Feb 2021	16 Feb 2021	W 2-1	2.10	1.63	3	+1.37	+2.54	+€1.10
M28	Bradford · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	L 0-2	1.87	1.78	0	−1.78	+0.77	−€1.00
M29	Cambridge · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.34	1.49	3	+1.51	+2.28	+€1.34
M30	Scunthorpe · Away27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 2-0	2.28	1.54	3	+1.46	+3.74	+€1.28
M31	Southend · Home2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	W 1-0	1.57	2.04	3	+0.96	+4.70	+€0.57
M32	Port Vale · Home6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	W 3-2	1.77	1.86	3	+1.14	+5.84	+€0.77
M33	Mansfield · Away9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	L 1-3	2.41	1.46	0	−1.46	+4.38	−€1.00
M34	Exeter · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 1-0	3.21	1.18	3	+1.82	+6.21	+€2.21
M35	Barrow · Home16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	L 0-2	1.89	1.77	0	−1.77	+4.43	−€1.00
M36	Salford · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 2-0	2.42	1.47	3	+1.53	+5.96	+€1.42
M37	Morecambe · Away27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	L 0-1	2.45	1.44	0	−1.44	+4.52	−€1.00
M38	Tranmere · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	W 4-0	2.00	1.69	3	+1.31	+5.84	+€1.00
M39	Grimsby · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	D 1-1	1.92	1.75	1	−0.75	+5.08	−€1.00
M40	Leyton Orient · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	W 1-0	1.82	1.82	3	+1.18	+6.26	+€0.82
M41	Crawley Town · Away16 Apr 2021	16 Apr 2021	L 0-1	1.78	1.84	0	−1.84	+4.41	−€1.00
M42	Stevenage · Away20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.02	1.69	3	+1.31	+5.73	+€1.02
M43	Colchester · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 1-0	1.57	2.04	3	+0.96	+6.69	+€0.57
M44	Carlisle · Home27 Apr 2021	27 Apr 2021	D 1-1	1.97	1.71	1	−0.71	+5.97	−€1.00
M45	Newport County · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	L 0-1	2.74	1.34	0	−1.34	+4.64	−€1.00
M46	Harrogate · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 4-1	1.45	2.15	3	+0.85	+5.48	+€0.45
Total					76.52	82	+5.48		+€5.00