Points
43Points expected by the market
49.46Gap
−6.46Yield
−19.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 21 | −6.24 | −31.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 22 | −0.22 | −9.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 14 | −4.92 | −40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +1.13 | −1.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.32 | −11.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 13 | −1.35 | −12.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Walsall · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Salford · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.24 |
| M3 | Bolton · Away10 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.27 |
| M4 | Cheltenham · Away13 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.29 | +0.03 |
| M5 | Leyton Orient · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.89 |
| M6 | Harrogate · Home20 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.80 |
| M7 | Carlisle · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.72 |
| M8 | Forest Green · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.07 |
| M9 | Stevenage · Away31 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.28 |
| M10 | Barrow · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.45 |
| M11 | Tranmere · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.37 |
| M12 | Crawley Town · Away24 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +2.39 |
| M13 | Exeter · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.44 |
| M14 | Colchester · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.33 |
| M15 | Newport County · Home8 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.59 |
| M16 | Mansfield · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.67 |
| M17 | Southend · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.03 |
| M18 | Scunthorpe · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −0.24 |
| M19 | Bradford · Home22 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.45 |
| M20 | Morecambe · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.35 |
| M21 | Oldham · Home29 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.62 |
| M22 | Cambridge · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.84 |
| M23 | Port Vale · Away9 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.95 |
| M24 | Southend · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −5.52 |
| M25 | Scunthorpe · Away23 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.67 |
| M26 | Stevenage · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −8.05 |
| M27 | Newport County · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −8.97 |
| M28 | Crawley Town · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −7.23 |
| M29 | Harrogate · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −8.12 |
| M30 | Leyton Orient · Home2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −9.32 |
| M31 | Forest Green · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −10.30 |
| M32 | Carlisle · Away9 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −10.08 |
| M33 | Colchester · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −10.47 |
| M34 | Tranmere · Home17 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −10.45 |
| M35 | Mansfield · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | −10.24 |
| M36 | Barrow · Away23 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −8.23 |
| M37 | Walsall · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.69 |
| M38 | Salford · Away2 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −8.51 |
| M39 | Cheltenham · Home5 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −8.46 |
| M40 | Bradford · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.51 |
| M41 | Bolton · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −7.48 |
| M42 | Morecambe · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.64 |
| M43 | Oldham · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −6.88 |
| M44 | Exeter · Away27 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −7.70 |
| M45 | Port Vale · Home1 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −5.72 |
| M46 | Cambridge · Away8 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.46 |
| Total | 43 | −6.46 | |||