Points
57Points expected by the market
63.24Gap
−6.24Yield
−4.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −4.95 | −31.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 30 | 36 | −4.13 | −11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.84 | +92.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 11 | −6.32 | −44.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −1.06 | −11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.13 | +371.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 21 | −3.07 | −11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.71 | +23.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southend · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Walsall · Home19 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.18 |
| M3 | Port Vale · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.97 |
| M4 | Bolton · Home3 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.66 |
| M5 | Bradford · Away12 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.97 |
| M6 | Barrow · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.28 |
| M7 | Grimsby · Away20 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.65 |
| M8 | Colchester · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.09 |
| M9 | Stevenage · Home27 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.20 |
| M10 | Newport County · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.08 |
| M11 | Tranmere · Home3 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.61 |
| M12 | Crawley Town · Home14 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −2.20 |
| M13 | Leyton Orient · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.61 |
| M14 | Mansfield · Away24 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.85 |
| M15 | Scunthorpe · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.70 | −3.55 |
| M16 | Forest Green · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.74 |
| M17 | Morecambe · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.01 |
| M18 | Exeter · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | −3.80 |
| M19 | Salford · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −5.12 |
| M20 | Oldham · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −3.37 |
| M21 | Cambridge · Away9 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.55 |
| M22 | Exeter · Home19 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −4.69 |
| M23 | Salford · Away22 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.80 |
| M24 | Tranmere · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.03 |
| M25 | Newport County · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −4.39 |
| M26 | Crawley Town · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.73 |
| M27 | Cheltenham · Home9 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.93 |
| M28 | Carlisle · Home16 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −2.13 |
| M29 | Scunthorpe · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.62 |
| M30 | Mansfield · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.05 |
| M31 | Grimsby · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.89 |
| M32 | Barrow · Away2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.67 |
| M33 | Stevenage · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.76 |
| M34 | Colchester · Home9 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.33 |
| M35 | Forest Green · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.03 |
| M36 | Morecambe · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.55 |
| M37 | Southend · Home27 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.35 |
| M38 | Walsall · Away2 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −4.90 |
| M39 | Port Vale · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −6.31 |
| M40 | Bolton · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.24 |
| M41 | Leyton Orient · Home13 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −7.78 |
| M42 | Bradford · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −6.21 |
| M43 | Oldham · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −7.81 |
| M44 | Carlisle · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −7.73 |
| M45 | Cambridge · Home30 Apr 2021 | W 5-4 | 3 | +2.13 | −5.61 |
| M46 | Cheltenham · Away8 May 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.24 |
| Total | 57 | −6.24 | |||