Points
61Points expected by the market
59.73Gap
+1.27Yield
+4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −0.49 | −13.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 32 | 41 | −0.61 | −5.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.36 | +63.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +1.12 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 23 | +0.05 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −0.65 | −6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.36 | +63.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Oldham · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.79 |
| M2 | Mansfield · Home19 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.47 |
| M3 | Cheltenham · Home3 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.25 |
| M4 | Barrow · Away10 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.03 |
| M5 | Walsall · Away13 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.12 |
| M6 | Grimsby · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.71 |
| M7 | Tranmere · Away20 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.91 |
| M8 | Stevenage · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.63 |
| M9 | Exeter · Home27 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.32 |
| M10 | Bolton · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.73 |
| M11 | Forest Green · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.75 |
| M12 | Colchester · Away14 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.52 |
| M13 | Harrogate · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.18 |
| M14 | Bradford · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.73 |
| M15 | Port Vale · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +4.56 |
| M16 | Scunthorpe · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.21 |
| M17 | Newport County · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +5.01 |
| M18 | Morecambe · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +3.76 |
| M19 | Crawley Town · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +2.33 |
| M20 | Cambridge · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.09 |
| M21 | Southend · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.34 |
| M22 | Salford · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.98 |
| M23 | Morecambe · Home16 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.67 |
| M24 | Forest Green · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +4.34 |
| M25 | Bolton · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.22 |
| M26 | Crawley Town · Away2 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +3.04 |
| M27 | Colchester · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +2.39 |
| M28 | Port Vale · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.93 |
| M29 | Bradford · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.75 |
| M30 | Tranmere · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.60 |
| M31 | Grimsby · Away2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.90 |
| M32 | Exeter · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.10 |
| M33 | Stevenage · Home9 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.57 |
| M34 | Scunthorpe · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.15 |
| M35 | Newport County · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +0.84 |
| M36 | Carlisle · Away23 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +2.78 |
| M37 | Oldham · Home27 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +4.09 |
| M38 | Mansfield · Away2 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +6.09 |
| M39 | Walsall · Home5 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +5.49 |
| M40 | Cheltenham · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +4.59 |
| M41 | Harrogate · Away13 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +4.43 |
| M42 | Barrow · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +6.06 |
| M43 | Cambridge · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.31 | +4.74 |
| M44 | Southend · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +3.13 |
| M45 | Carlisle · Home1 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.96 |
| M46 | Salford · Away8 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | +1.27 |
| Total | 61 | +1.27 | |||