← League Two 2020-21

Mansfield

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

67.17

Gap

−9.17

Yield

−29.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	13	19	22.61	−3.61	−41.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	28	32	39.58	−7.58	−38.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	7	4.98	+2.02	+51.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	14	17.51	−3.51	−42.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	14	19.04	−5.04	−41.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	5	5.10	−0.10	−37.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	18	20.54	−2.54	−34.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	7	4.98	+2.02	+51.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Tranmere · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	D 0-0	2.35	1.49	1	−0.49	−0.49	−€1.00
M2	Leyton Orient · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	D 2-2	2.52	1.40	1	−0.40	−0.89	−€1.00
M3	Exeter · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 1-2	2.58	1.38	0	−1.38	−2.26	−€1.00
M4	Newport County · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 1-2	3.21	1.16	0	−1.16	−3.43	−€1.00
M5	Stevenage · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	D 0-0	1.80	1.82	1	−0.82	−4.25	−€1.00
M6	Bradford · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 1-3	2.29	1.51	0	−1.51	−5.76	−€1.00
M7	Morecambe · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.38	1.47	1	−0.47	−6.23	−€1.00
M8	Cheltenham · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 0-0	4.01	0.97	1	+0.03	−6.19	−€1.00
M9	Barrow · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	L 2-4	2.26	1.53	0	−1.53	−7.72	−€1.00
M10	Walsall · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.48	1.43	1	−0.43	−8.15	−€1.00
M11	Bolton · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.56	1.39	1	−0.39	−8.53	−€1.00
M12	Forest Green · Away14 Nov 2020	14 Nov 2020	W 2-1	3.88	1.00	3	+2.00	−6.54	+€2.88
M13	Colchester · Home20 Nov 2020	20 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.28	1.52	1	−0.52	−7.05	−€1.00
M14	Harrogate · Home24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	L 0-1	2.40	1.47	0	−1.47	−8.52	−€1.00
M15	Cambridge · Away2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	W 1-0	3.71	1.03	3	+1.97	−6.55	+€2.71
M16	Crawley Town · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	D 3-3	2.14	1.60	1	−0.60	−7.15	−€1.00
M17	Grimsby · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	D 1-1	2.08	1.64	1	−0.64	−7.79	−€1.00
M18	Carlisle · Away15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	L 0-1	4.15	0.94	0	−0.94	−8.72	−€1.00
M19	Southend · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.67	1.94	1	−0.94	−9.67	−€1.00
M20	Scunthorpe · Away26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	W 3-2	2.50	1.43	3	+1.57	−8.10	+€1.50
M21	Port Vale · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	W 4-0	2.13	1.61	3	+1.39	−6.71	+€1.13
M22	Salford · Home5 Jan 2021	5 Jan 2021	W 2-1	2.38	1.48	3	+1.52	−5.18	+€1.38
M23	Oldham · Away13 Jan 2021	13 Jan 2021	W 3-2	2.30	1.49	3	+1.51	−3.68	+€1.30
M24	Southend · Away23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	W 1-0	1.88	1.77	3	+1.23	−2.45	+€0.88
M25	Walsall · Away9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.42	1.46	1	−0.46	−2.90	−€1.00
M26	Colchester · Away14 Feb 2021	14 Feb 2021	D 2-2	1.99	1.69	1	−0.69	−3.59	−€1.00
M27	Bolton · Home17 Feb 2021	17 Feb 2021	L 2-3	2.31	1.51	0	−1.51	−5.10	−€1.00
M28	Cambridge · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	L 0-3	2.05	1.65	0	−1.65	−6.75	−€1.00
M29	Harrogate · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	L 0-1	2.90	1.27	0	−1.27	−8.02	−€1.00
M30	Morecambe · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.23	1.54	3	+1.46	−6.56	+€1.23
M31	Bradford · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	L 0-1	2.75	1.33	0	−1.33	−7.89	−€1.00
M32	Barrow · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.35	1.50	0	−1.50	−9.39	−€1.00
M33	Cheltenham · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	W 3-1	2.97	1.24	3	+1.76	−7.63	+€1.97
M34	Crawley Town · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 0-1	2.59	1.37	0	−1.37	−9.00	−€1.00
M35	Carlisle · Home16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	D 1-1	2.42	1.46	1	−0.46	−9.47	−€1.00
M36	Grimsby · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	D 2-2	1.65	1.96	1	−0.96	−10.42	−€1.00
M37	Forest Green · Home23 Mar 2021	23 Mar 2021	D 0-0	2.17	1.58	1	−0.58	−11.00	−€1.00
M38	Tranmere · Away27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	D 1-1	2.85	1.28	1	−0.28	−11.29	−€1.00
M39	Leyton Orient · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 0-2	1.98	1.71	0	−1.71	−12.99	−€1.00
M40	Exeter · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	D 0-0	3.42	1.11	1	−0.11	−13.10	−€1.00
M41	Newport County · Home9 Apr 2021	9 Apr 2021	D 1-1	2.39	1.50	1	−0.50	−13.60	−€1.00
M42	Stevenage · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.69	1.37	3	+1.63	−11.97	+€1.69
M43	Scunthorpe · Home20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 3-0	1.75	1.88	3	+1.12	−10.85	+€0.75
M44	Salford · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	L 0-2	3.74	1.04	0	−1.04	−11.89	−€1.00
M45	Oldham · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	W 4-1	1.86	1.77	3	+1.23	−10.66	+€0.86
M46	Port Vale · Away8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 3-0	2.29	1.51	3	+1.49	−9.17	+€1.29
Total					67.17	58	−9.17		−€13.43