← League Two 2020-21

Morecambe

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

61.78

Gap

+16.22

Yield

+31.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	16	11.08	+4.92	+47.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	32	52	43.04	+8.96	+25.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	10	7.67	+2.33	+42.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	16	11.08	+4.92	+47.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	27	20.54	+6.46	+45.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	1	1.99	−0.99	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	17	25	22.49	+2.51	+7.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	9	5.68	+3.32	+90.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Cheltenham · Away12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	W 2-1	4.23	0.93	3	+2.07	+2.07	+€3.23
M2	Cambridge · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	L 0-5	2.45	1.45	0	−1.45	+0.62	−€1.00
M3	Southend · Away26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	W 2-1	2.52	1.40	3	+1.60	+2.22	+€1.52
M4	Port Vale · Home3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	W 1-0	3.12	1.19	3	+1.81	+4.02	+€2.12
M5	Oldham · Away10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 3-2	3.23	1.16	3	+1.84	+5.86	+€2.23
M6	Crawley Town · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 0-4	2.97	1.25	0	−1.25	+4.62	−€1.00
M7	Mansfield · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.93	1.25	1	−0.25	+4.37	−€1.00
M8	Forest Green · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 1-2	4.18	0.94	0	−0.94	+3.43	−€1.00
M9	Carlisle · Away27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	L 1-3	5.00	0.81	0	−0.81	+2.62	−€1.00
M10	Tranmere · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	W 1-0	3.56	1.09	3	+1.91	+4.54	+€2.56
M11	Exeter · Home3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 2-2	3.63	1.05	1	−0.05	+4.49	−€1.00
M12	Stevenage · Home14 Nov 2020	14 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.47	1.44	1	−0.44	+4.05	−€1.00
M13	Scunthorpe · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.59	1.38	1	−0.38	+3.68	−€1.00
M14	Salford · Away24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	L 1-2	4.36	0.91	0	−0.91	+2.77	−€1.00
M15	Barrow · Home1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	W 1-0	2.91	1.26	3	+1.74	+4.50	+€1.91
M16	Newport County · Away5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 1-2	4.35	0.90	0	−0.90	+3.60	−€1.00
M17	Harrogate · Home12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	W 1-0	2.45	1.44	3	+1.56	+5.16	+€1.45
M18	Leyton Orient · Home15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.39	1.47	3	+1.53	+6.69	+€1.39
M19	Colchester · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.34	1.47	3	+1.53	+8.22	+€1.34
M20	Grimsby · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	W 3-1	1.80	1.83	3	+1.17	+9.39	+€0.80
M21	Leyton Orient · Away16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	L 0-2	2.51	1.41	0	−1.41	+7.98	−€1.00
M22	Walsall · Home19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	D 1-1	2.42	1.44	1	−0.44	+7.54	−€1.00
M23	Colchester · Home23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	W 3-0	1.98	1.69	3	+1.31	+8.85	+€0.98
M24	Exeter · Away26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	W 2-0	3.64	1.04	3	+1.96	+10.81	+€2.64
M25	Tranmere · Home30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	L 0-1	2.36	1.48	0	−1.48	+9.33	−€1.00
M26	Stevenage · Away6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	D 2-2	2.43	1.45	1	−0.45	+8.88	−€1.00
M27	Bolton · Away9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	D 1-1	3.24	1.15	1	−0.15	+8.73	−€1.00
M28	Bradford · Away16 Feb 2021	16 Feb 2021	L 1-2	2.96	1.24	0	−1.24	+7.49	−€1.00
M29	Barrow · Away20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 2-1	2.57	1.38	3	+1.62	+9.11	+€1.57
M30	Salford · Home23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 2-1	2.96	1.24	3	+1.76	+10.87	+€1.96
M31	Mansfield · Away27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	L 0-1	3.16	1.17	0	−1.17	+9.70	−€1.00
M32	Crawley Town · Home2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	W 3-1	2.29	1.51	3	+1.49	+11.18	+€1.29
M33	Carlisle · Home6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	W 3-1	2.78	1.30	3	+1.70	+12.89	+€1.78
M34	Forest Green · Away9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	D 2-2	2.81	1.29	1	−0.29	+12.60	−€1.00
M35	Newport County · Home13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 1-3	2.37	1.48	0	−1.48	+11.11	−€1.00
M36	Harrogate · Away20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 1-0	3.16	1.19	3	+1.81	+12.93	+€2.16
M37	Cheltenham · Home27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.85	1.27	3	+1.73	+14.65	+€1.85
M38	Cambridge · Away2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 1-2	3.03	1.22	0	−1.22	+13.44	−€1.00
M39	Southend · Home6 Apr 2021	6 Apr 2021	D 1-1	1.89	1.78	1	−0.78	+12.66	−€1.00
M40	Port Vale · Away10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 0-1	3.09	1.21	0	−1.21	+11.45	−€1.00
M41	Scunthorpe · Home13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	W 4-1	1.63	1.98	3	+1.02	+12.47	+€0.63
M42	Oldham · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	W 4-3	1.85	1.78	3	+1.22	+13.69	+€0.85
M43	Grimsby · Away20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 3-0	2.22	1.55	3	+1.45	+15.14	+€1.22
M44	Bolton · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.77	1.33	0	−1.33	+13.81	−€1.00
M45	Walsall · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	W 2-0	2.20	1.58	3	+1.42	+15.24	+€1.20
M46	Bradford · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 2-0	1.58	2.02	3	+0.98	+16.22	+€0.58
Total					61.78	78	+16.22		+€14.26