Points
73Points expected by the market
69.60Gap
+3.40Yield
−3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 34 | +4.35 | +13.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 39 | −0.94 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 27 | +2.54 | +9.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.33 | +38.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.81 | +32.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 22 | −5.27 | −37.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Scunthorpe · Away12 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.36 |
| M2 | Barrow · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.01 |
| M3 | Bolton · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.54 |
| M4 | Mansfield · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.99 |
| M5 | Cambridge · Away10 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.51 |
| M6 | Tranmere · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.83 |
| M7 | Stevenage · Away20 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.27 |
| M8 | Bradford · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +6.89 |
| M9 | Colchester · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +8.02 |
| M10 | Harrogate · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +9.44 |
| M11 | Carlisle · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +8.04 |
| M12 | Port Vale · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.34 |
| M13 | Walsall · Home24 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +8.53 |
| M14 | Forest Green · Away1 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +8.23 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +9.39 |
| M16 | Grimsby · Away8 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +10.58 |
| M17 | Leyton Orient · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +9.08 |
| M18 | Salford · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +8.61 |
| M19 | Oldham · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.79 | +6.81 |
| M20 | Crawley Town · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +6.33 |
| M21 | Salford · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +5.74 |
| M22 | Cheltenham · Away19 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +5.62 |
| M23 | Oldham · Away23 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +4.21 |
| M24 | Harrogate · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +2.86 |
| M25 | Grimsby · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +4.06 |
| M26 | Southend · Home9 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +2.23 |
| M27 | Exeter · Home16 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.98 |
| M28 | Forest Green · Home21 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.57 |
| M29 | Walsall · Away24 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.06 |
| M30 | Stevenage · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.42 |
| M31 | Tranmere · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.18 |
| M32 | Colchester · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.57 |
| M33 | Bradford · Home9 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.05 |
| M34 | Morecambe · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +4.82 |
| M35 | Port Vale · Away16 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.52 |
| M36 | Leyton Orient · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | +1.83 |
| M37 | Barrow · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.44 |
| M38 | Bolton · Home5 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.20 |
| M39 | Mansfield · Away9 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +2.02 |
| M40 | Carlisle · Home13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.66 |
| M41 | Cambridge · Home17 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.25 |
| M42 | Crawley Town · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.65 |
| M43 | Exeter · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.53 |
| M44 | Scunthorpe · Home27 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.54 |
| M45 | Cheltenham · Home1 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.18 |
| M46 | Southend · Away8 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +3.40 |
| Total | 73 | +3.40 | |||