Points
54Points expected by the market
55.06Gap
−1.06Yield
+12.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.23 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 30 | −6.29 | −18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 23 | +7.46 | +79.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.23 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 13 | −10.96 | −39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.11 | +176.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +4.67 | +19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 17 | +4.34 | +56.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leyton Orient · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.51 |
| M2 | Stevenage · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.88 |
| M3 | Crawley Town · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.38 |
| M4 | Colchester · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.47 |
| M5 | Morecambe · Home10 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −6.03 |
| M6 | Bolton · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −4.22 |
| M7 | Carlisle · Home20 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.37 |
| M8 | Port Vale · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.61 |
| M9 | Southend · Away27 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −4.13 |
| M10 | Salford · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.02 |
| M11 | Cheltenham · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −2.96 |
| M12 | Scunthorpe · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −4.53 |
| M13 | Exeter · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −2.37 |
| M14 | Barrow · Away24 Nov 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.93 | −0.44 |
| M15 | Tranmere · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.77 |
| M16 | Cambridge · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +0.16 |
| M17 | Bradford · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.70 |
| M18 | Walsall · Home15 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.52 |
| M19 | Newport County · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.57 |
| M20 | Harrogate · Home26 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.10 |
| M21 | Grimsby · Away29 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.65 |
| M22 | Mansfield · Home13 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.60 |
| M23 | Walsall · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.69 |
| M24 | Newport County · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.00 |
| M25 | Cheltenham · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.07 |
| M26 | Salford · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.91 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Away16 Feb 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +0.90 |
| M28 | Tranmere · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.76 |
| M29 | Barrow · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.69 |
| M30 | Carlisle · Away27 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.45 |
| M31 | Bolton · Home2 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.34 |
| M32 | Southend · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.31 |
| M33 | Port Vale · Away9 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.46 |
| M34 | Cambridge · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.66 |
| M35 | Scunthorpe · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.84 |
| M36 | Bradford · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −1.79 |
| M37 | Exeter · Home23 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.27 |
| M38 | Leyton Orient · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.76 |
| M39 | Stevenage · Home2 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.97 |
| M40 | Crawley Town · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.07 |
| M41 | Colchester · Home9 Apr 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.55 |
| M42 | Morecambe · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.58 |
| M43 | Harrogate · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.43 |
| M44 | Grimsby · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.93 |
| M45 | Mansfield · Away1 May 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.04 |
| M46 | Forest Green · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.06 |
| Total | 54 | −1.06 | |||