Points
60Points expected by the market
63.73Gap
−3.73Yield
−7.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 15 | −5.35 | −35.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 30 | 44 | +4.50 | +16.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 12 | −3.14 | −33.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +0.72 | +9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.21 | −43.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +3.78 | +21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.89 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crawley Town · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Exeter · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.11 |
| M3 | Harrogate · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.60 |
| M4 | Morecambe · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.08 |
| M5 | Carlisle · Home10 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −0.49 |
| M6 | Salford · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.18 |
| M7 | Cambridge · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.05 |
| M8 | Oldham · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.58 |
| M9 | Cheltenham · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.24 |
| M10 | Southend · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.32 |
| M11 | Tranmere · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.71 | +2.60 |
| M12 | Scunthorpe · Home17 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | +0.74 |
| M13 | Newport County · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.28 |
| M14 | Stevenage · Away24 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.86 |
| M15 | Leyton Orient · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −3.40 |
| M16 | Bolton · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 6-3 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.64 |
| M17 | Colchester · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −2.41 |
| M18 | Forest Green · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.67 |
| M19 | Walsall · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.78 |
| M20 | Barrow · Home26 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.29 |
| M21 | Bradford · Away29 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −5.49 |
| M22 | Mansfield · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −6.60 |
| M23 | Grimsby · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −5.21 |
| M24 | Forest Green · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −5.27 |
| M25 | Walsall · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.58 |
| M26 | Scunthorpe · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −7.94 |
| M27 | Southend · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −6.73 |
| M28 | Tranmere · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.91 |
| M29 | Leyton Orient · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −8.15 |
| M30 | Stevenage · Home23 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −8.74 |
| M31 | Cambridge · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −10.11 |
| M32 | Salford · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −11.05 |
| M33 | Cheltenham · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −11.92 |
| M34 | Oldham · Home9 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −12.49 |
| M35 | Bolton · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −13.64 |
| M36 | Newport County · Home16 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −12.03 |
| M37 | Colchester · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −10.48 |
| M38 | Crawley Town · Away27 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −8.77 |
| M39 | Exeter · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −7.13 |
| M40 | Harrogate · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −5.42 |
| M41 | Morecambe · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.91 |
| M42 | Carlisle · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −4.03 |
| M43 | Barrow · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.28 |
| M44 | Bradford · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.83 |
| M45 | Grimsby · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.52 |
| M46 | Mansfield · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.73 |
| Total | 60 | −3.73 | |||