Points
71Points expected by the market
71.90Gap
−0.90Yield
−14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 41 | +2.26 | −4.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 27 | −4.02 | −25.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 34 | +5.55 | +6.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.04 | −56.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.29 | −35.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 20 | −2.98 | −14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Exeter · Home12 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.62 |
| M2 | Grimsby · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.83 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.38 |
| M4 | Stevenage · Away3 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.88 |
| M5 | Tranmere · Home10 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | +1.16 |
| M6 | Port Vale · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.22 |
| M7 | Southend · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.63 |
| M8 | Crawley Town · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.21 |
| M9 | Oldham · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.93 |
| M10 | Cambridge · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.37 |
| M11 | Bolton · Away13 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −2.00 |
| M12 | Bradford · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.62 |
| M13 | Morecambe · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +0.55 |
| M14 | Carlisle · Away2 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.57 |
| M15 | Barrow · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.01 |
| M16 | Cheltenham · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.72 |
| M17 | Newport County · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.49 |
| M18 | Harrogate · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.08 |
| M19 | Walsall · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.70 |
| M20 | Leyton Orient · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +2.35 |
| M21 | Mansfield · Away5 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.12 |
| M22 | Scunthorpe · Away12 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.67 |
| M23 | Newport County · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +2.55 |
| M24 | Harrogate · Home22 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +1.93 |
| M25 | Oldham · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.37 |
| M26 | Cambridge · Home9 Feb 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.67 |
| M27 | Barrow · Home16 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.87 |
| M28 | Carlisle · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.56 |
| M29 | Morecambe · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.08 |
| M30 | Southend · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +0.36 |
| M31 | Port Vale · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.58 |
| M32 | Scunthorpe · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +0.71 |
| M33 | Crawley Town · Away9 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.76 |
| M34 | Colchester · Home16 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | −1.68 |
| M35 | Cheltenham · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.90 |
| M36 | Exeter · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.10 |
| M37 | Grimsby · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −4.99 |
| M38 | Forest Green · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.38 |
| M39 | Stevenage · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.02 |
| M40 | Bolton · Home13 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −3.39 |
| M41 | Tranmere · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −3.79 |
| M42 | Walsall · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.49 |
| M43 | Mansfield · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.16 |
| M44 | Bradford · Away27 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.06 |
| M45 | Colchester · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.83 |
| M46 | Leyton Orient · Home8 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −0.90 |
| Total | 71 | −0.90 | |||