Points
48Points expected by the market
53.27Gap
−5.27Yield
−10.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 32 | −2.62 | −4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 16 | −2.64 | −18.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 26 | +0.43 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.24 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.06 | −14.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +0.60 | +2.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newport County · Home12 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.34 |
| M2 | Crawley Town · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.50 |
| M3 | Carlisle · Home26 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.16 |
| M4 | Tranmere · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.98 |
| M5 | Forest Green · Home10 Oct 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.99 |
| M6 | Cambridge · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.21 |
| M7 | Cheltenham · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.94 |
| M8 | Exeter · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.55 |
| M9 | Oldham · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −2.71 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Away17 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −0.58 |
| M11 | Morecambe · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.91 |
| M12 | Bolton · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.07 |
| M13 | Harrogate · Away1 Dec 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.08 |
| M14 | Leyton Orient · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.57 |
| M15 | Colchester · Home8 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.05 |
| M16 | Southend · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.52 |
| M17 | Barrow · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.06 |
| M18 | Grimsby · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.43 |
| M19 | Mansfield · Home26 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.70 |
| M20 | Walsall · Away29 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −0.64 |
| M21 | Stevenage · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.88 |
| M22 | Salford · Home12 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.13 |
| M23 | Barrow · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.21 |
| M24 | Grimsby · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.74 |
| M25 | Port Vale · Home26 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.08 |
| M26 | Colchester · Away29 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.63 |
| M27 | Harrogate · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.42 |
| M28 | Bolton · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.37 |
| M29 | Cheltenham · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.21 |
| M30 | Cambridge · Away2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.10 |
| M31 | Salford · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +2.25 |
| M32 | Exeter · Home9 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.18 |
| M33 | Leyton Orient · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.07 |
| M34 | Oldham · Home16 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.53 |
| M35 | Southend · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.06 |
| M36 | Bradford · Home23 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.65 |
| M37 | Crawley Town · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.15 |
| M38 | Carlisle · Away6 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.24 |
| M39 | Tranmere · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.15 |
| M40 | Morecambe · Away13 Apr 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.61 |
| M41 | Forest Green · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.47 |
| M42 | Mansfield · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.32 |
| M43 | Walsall · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.55 |
| M44 | Newport County · Away27 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.29 |
| M45 | Bradford · Away1 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −4.19 |
| M46 | Stevenage · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.27 |
| Total | 48 | −5.27 | |||