Points
45Points expected by the market
45.72Gap
−0.72Yield
−12.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 16 | −3.57 | −23.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 30 | 29 | +2.85 | −7.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −2.21 | −12.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.12 | −61.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.36 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 23 | +4.97 | +15.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Harrogate · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.25 |
| M2 | Carlisle · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.16 |
| M3 | Morecambe · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.48 |
| M4 | Crawley Town · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −3.24 |
| M5 | Exeter · Home10 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | −2.99 |
| M6 | Cheltenham · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.77 |
| M7 | Salford · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.40 |
| M8 | Tranmere · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.21 |
| M9 | Oldham · Home27 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −6.42 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −7.23 |
| M11 | Bradford · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −7.91 |
| M12 | Walsall · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.32 | −5.59 |
| M13 | Forest Green · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −6.34 |
| M14 | Bolton · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −7.05 |
| M15 | Stevenage · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −6.99 |
| M16 | Scunthorpe · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −5.12 |
| M17 | Grimsby · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −3.45 |
| M18 | Mansfield · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −3.25 |
| M19 | Colchester · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.55 |
| M20 | Leyton Orient · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.53 |
| M21 | Barrow · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.65 |
| M22 | Grimsby · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.78 |
| M23 | Cambridge · Home19 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.94 |
| M24 | Mansfield · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.90 |
| M25 | Bradford · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.03 |
| M26 | Port Vale · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.95 |
| M27 | Newport County · Away9 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −2.83 |
| M28 | Cambridge · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −2.71 |
| M29 | Bolton · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.78 |
| M30 | Forest Green · Away24 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −1.66 |
| M31 | Salford · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.64 |
| M32 | Cheltenham · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.35 |
| M33 | Oldham · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.40 |
| M34 | Tranmere · Home9 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.54 |
| M35 | Stevenage · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.76 |
| M36 | Scunthorpe · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.85 |
| M37 | Walsall · Home23 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −4.17 |
| M38 | Harrogate · Away27 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −2.07 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.22 |
| M40 | Morecambe · Away6 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −3.15 |
| M41 | Crawley Town · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.59 |
| M42 | Exeter · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | −3.46 |
| M43 | Colchester · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.68 |
| M44 | Leyton Orient · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −2.78 |
| M45 | Barrow · Away1 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.81 |
| M46 | Newport County · Home8 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.72 |
| Total | 45 | −0.72 | |||