Points
73Points expected by the market
63.68Gap
+9.32Yield
+18.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −4.02 | −41.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 49 | +10.47 | +32.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 11 | +2.87 | +45.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.66 | −27.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 27 | +5.94 | +40.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.53 | +23.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 11 | +2.87 | +45.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mansfield · Away12 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.23 |
| M2 | Cheltenham · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.63 |
| M3 | Cambridge · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.72 |
| M4 | Scunthorpe · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.28 |
| M5 | Salford · Away10 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.28 |
| M6 | Newport County · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.30 |
| M7 | Leyton Orient · Home20 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.80 |
| M8 | Southend · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −1.72 |
| M9 | Crawley Town · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.97 |
| M10 | Morecambe · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −4.59 |
| M11 | Harrogate · Away3 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −2.61 |
| M12 | Port Vale · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.61 |
| M13 | Grimsby · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.76 |
| M14 | Carlisle · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.55 |
| M15 | Oldham · Away1 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.18 |
| M16 | Walsall · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.64 |
| M17 | Exeter · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.68 |
| M18 | Bolton · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.45 |
| M19 | Bradford · Home26 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +2.02 |
| M20 | Barrow · Away29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.84 |
| M21 | Stevenage · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.53 |
| M22 | Forest Green · Home19 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.28 |
| M23 | Bolton · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +5.01 |
| M24 | Harrogate · Home26 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.52 | +6.53 |
| M25 | Morecambe · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +8.29 |
| M26 | Port Vale · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +9.76 |
| M27 | Stevenage · Home9 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | +8.06 |
| M28 | Oldham · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +7.46 |
| M29 | Carlisle · Away23 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.98 | +9.44 |
| M30 | Leyton Orient · Away27 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +11.08 |
| M31 | Newport County · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +12.63 |
| M32 | Crawley Town · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +11.00 |
| M33 | Southend · Away9 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +12.44 |
| M34 | Grimsby · Away17 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +11.71 |
| M35 | Exeter · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +13.44 |
| M36 | Colchester · Away23 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +12.94 |
| M37 | Mansfield · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +12.52 |
| M38 | Cheltenham · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +11.50 |
| M39 | Cambridge · Home5 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +11.04 |
| M40 | Scunthorpe · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +10.42 |
| M41 | Walsall · Away13 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +8.94 |
| M42 | Salford · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +8.66 |
| M43 | Bradford · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +10.26 |
| M44 | Barrow · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +11.58 |
| M45 | Forest Green · Away1 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +10.21 |
| M46 | Colchester · Home8 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +9.32 |
| Total | 73 | +9.32 | |||