Points
53Points expected by the market
60.60Gap
−7.60Yield
−40.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.28 | +4.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 34 | −2.97 | −32.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 5 | −4.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.28 | +4.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −4.00 | −35.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +1.03 | −30.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.83 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Grimsby · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Harrogate · Away19 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.99 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.78 |
| M4 | Colchester · Home10 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.27 |
| M5 | Leyton Orient · Home13 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.63 |
| M6 | Exeter · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.34 |
| M7 | Bradford · Away20 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.07 |
| M8 | Barrow · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.63 |
| M9 | Cambridge · Home27 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.78 |
| M10 | Mansfield · Away31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.06 |
| M11 | Crawley Town · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.41 |
| M12 | Southend · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.08 | −1.67 |
| M13 | Cheltenham · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.71 |
| M14 | Newport County · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.64 |
| M15 | Stevenage · Home2 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.32 |
| M16 | Tranmere · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −1.49 |
| M17 | Bolton · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.11 |
| M18 | Oldham · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.35 |
| M19 | Port Vale · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.73 |
| M20 | Salford · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.40 |
| M21 | Scunthorpe · Home29 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −0.40 |
| M22 | Carlisle · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.76 |
| M23 | Oldham · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −2.40 |
| M24 | Morecambe · Away19 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −2.67 |
| M25 | Port Vale · Away23 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.07 |
| M26 | Mansfield · Home9 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.32 |
| M27 | Cheltenham · Home16 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.40 |
| M28 | Stevenage · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.77 |
| M29 | Newport County · Home24 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.95 |
| M30 | Bradford · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −5.27 |
| M31 | Exeter · Away2 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −5.20 |
| M32 | Cambridge · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.24 |
| M33 | Barrow · Home12 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.68 |
| M34 | Crawley Town · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −7.76 |
| M35 | Bolton · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −8.60 |
| M36 | Southend · Away23 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −8.97 |
| M37 | Grimsby · Away27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −9.20 |
| M38 | Harrogate · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −9.33 |
| M39 | Leyton Orient · Away5 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −9.43 |
| M40 | Forest Green · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −7.65 |
| M41 | Tranmere · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −5.87 |
| M42 | Colchester · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −7.14 |
| M43 | Salford · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −8.14 |
| M44 | Scunthorpe · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −6.60 |
| M45 | Morecambe · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.73 |
| M46 | Carlisle · Away8 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −7.60 |
| Total | 53 | −7.60 | |||