Points
44Points expected by the market
58.32Gap
−14.32Yield
−37.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.60 | −12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 28 | −8.96 | −41.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −4.76 | −38.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −2.02 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 16 | −8.47 | −56.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.26 | +103.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.42 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.49 | −16.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −6.02 | −62.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stevenage · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.07 |
| M2 | Hartlepool · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.34 |
| M3 | Exeter · Home17 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.16 |
| M4 | Harrogate · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.35 |
| M5 | Bristol Rovers · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.90 |
| M6 | Oldham · Away4 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.23 |
| M7 | Colchester · Home10 Sep 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.78 |
| M8 | Bradford · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −1.78 |
| M9 | Newport County · Home24 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.36 |
| M10 | Mansfield · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.43 |
| M11 | Leyton Orient · Home9 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.02 |
| M12 | Port Vale · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.03 |
| M13 | Scunthorpe · Home19 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −1.08 |
| M14 | Walsall · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.30 |
| M15 | Rochdale · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.73 |
| M16 | Carlisle · Away13 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.08 |
| M17 | Crawley Town · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −4.78 |
| M18 | Forest Green · Away23 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −5.63 |
| M19 | Sutton · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.67 |
| M20 | Swindon · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −5.00 |
| M21 | Tranmere · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −6.22 |
| M22 | Oldham · Home29 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −6.89 |
| M23 | Bradford · Home1 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −8.24 |
| M24 | Colchester · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −6.65 |
| M25 | Mansfield · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −7.96 |
| M26 | Salford · Home25 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −9.42 |
| M27 | Newport County · Away29 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −10.22 |
| M28 | Northampton · Away1 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −8.14 |
| M29 | Tranmere · Home5 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −8.53 |
| M30 | Hartlepool · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −9.73 |
| M31 | Stevenage · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −10.23 |
| M32 | Harrogate · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −10.73 |
| M33 | Bristol Rovers · Away1 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −11.78 |
| M34 | Walsall · Home5 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −12.19 |
| M35 | Rochdale · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −12.32 |
| M36 | Scunthorpe · Away15 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −10.90 |
| M37 | Carlisle · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −12.48 |
| M38 | Leyton Orient · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −13.55 |
| M39 | Port Vale · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −14.73 |
| M40 | Crawley Town · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −15.97 |
| M41 | Forest Green · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −13.95 |
| M42 | Salford · Away18 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −13.90 |
| M43 | Sutton · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −12.33 |
| M44 | Exeter · Away26 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −12.90 |
| M45 | Swindon · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −13.55 |
| M46 | Northampton · Home7 May 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −14.32 |
| Total | 44 | −14.32 | |||