← League Two 2021-22

Bradford

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLWWW

Points

Points expected by the market

66.10

Gap

−8.10

Yield

−15.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.25	+0.75	+37.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	12	19.44	−7.44	−68.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	28	29	38.39	−9.39	−37.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	14	6.01	+7.99	+172.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.25	+0.75	+37.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	11	16.19	−5.19	−61.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	14	18.62	−4.62	−46.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	1	3.25	−2.25	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	15	19.77	−4.77	−28.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	14	6.01	+7.99	+172.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Exeter · Away7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	D 0-0	2.89	1.28	1	−0.28	−0.28	−€1.00
M2	Oldham · Home14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	W 2-1	1.79	1.84	3	+1.16	+0.88	+€0.79
M3	Stevenage · Home17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	W 4-1	2.27	1.55	3	+1.45	+2.33	+€1.27
M4	Mansfield · Away21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	W 3-2	3.61	1.07	3	+1.93	+4.26	+€2.61
M5	Leyton Orient · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	L 0-2	2.66	1.37	0	−1.37	+2.89	−€1.00
M6	Walsall · Home4 Sep 2021	4 Sep 2021	D 1-1	1.73	1.90	1	−0.90	+1.99	−€1.00
M7	Salford · Away11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	L 0-1	3.39	1.11	0	−1.11	+0.88	−€1.00
M8	Barrow · Home18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	D 1-1	1.94	1.73	1	−0.73	+0.15	−€1.00
M9	Crawley Town · Away25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	L 1-2	2.18	1.57	0	−1.57	−1.42	−€1.00
M10	Rochdale · Home2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	W 2-0	2.27	1.52	3	+1.48	+0.06	+€1.27
M11	Newport County · Away9 Oct 2021	9 Oct 2021	D 0-0	2.89	1.27	1	−0.27	−0.20	−€1.00
M12	Bristol Rovers · Home16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	D 2-2	1.87	1.77	1	−0.77	−0.98	−€1.00
M13	Hartlepool · Home19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	L 1-3	1.88	1.77	0	−1.77	−2.74	−€1.00
M14	Swindon · Away23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	W 3-1	3.72	1.03	3	+1.97	−0.77	+€2.72
M15	Forest Green · Home30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	D 1-1	2.59	1.38	1	−0.38	−1.15	−€1.00
M16	Port Vale · Away13 Nov 2021	13 Nov 2021	D 1-1	3.56	1.08	1	−0.08	−1.23	−€1.00
M17	Northampton · Home20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	D 1-1	2.35	1.50	1	−0.50	−1.73	−€1.00
M18	Tranmere · Away23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	L 1-2	2.61	1.39	0	−1.39	−3.12	−€1.00
M19	Scunthorpe · Away27 Nov 2021	27 Nov 2021	D 1-1	2.04	1.68	1	−0.68	−3.80	−€1.00
M20	Colchester · Home8 Dec 2021	8 Dec 2021	D 0-0	1.87	1.78	1	−0.78	−4.58	−€1.00
M21	Sutton · Home11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	D 2-2	1.99	1.70	1	−0.70	−5.28	−€1.00
M22	Barrow · Away1 Jan 2022	1 Jan 2022	W 2-1	2.78	1.33	3	+1.67	−3.62	+€1.78
M23	Carlisle · Away8 Jan 2022	8 Jan 2022	L 0-2	2.62	1.37	0	−1.37	−4.98	−€1.00
M24	Salford · Home15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	W 2-1	2.37	1.49	3	+1.51	−3.47	+€1.37
M25	Rochdale · Away22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	D 0-0	2.64	1.35	1	−0.35	−3.82	−€1.00
M26	Walsall · Away25 Jan 2022	25 Jan 2022	W 2-1	2.45	1.44	3	+1.56	−2.27	+€1.45
M27	Crawley Town · Home29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	L 1-2	1.81	1.82	0	−1.82	−4.09	−€1.00
M28	Leyton Orient · Home1 Feb 2022	1 Feb 2022	D 1-1	2.41	1.47	1	−0.47	−4.56	−€1.00
M29	Harrogate · Away5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	L 0-2	2.90	1.26	0	−1.26	−5.83	−€1.00
M30	Stevenage · Away8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	W 1-0	2.55	1.41	3	+1.59	−4.24	+€1.55
M31	Exeter · Home12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	L 0-1	2.53	1.41	0	−1.41	−5.65	−€1.00
M32	Oldham · Away19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	L 0-2	2.22	1.56	0	−1.56	−7.21	−€1.00
M33	Harrogate · Home22 Feb 2022	22 Feb 2022	L 1-3	2.30	1.52	0	−1.52	−8.73	−€1.00
M34	Mansfield · Home26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	L 0-2	2.74	1.33	0	−1.33	−10.06	−€1.00
M35	Swindon · Home5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	L 1-2	2.62	1.38	0	−1.38	−11.43	−€1.00
M36	Forest Green · Away12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	W 2-0	5.08	0.80	3	+2.20	−9.23	+€4.08
M37	Hartlepool · Away15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	W 2-0	2.94	1.27	3	+1.73	−7.50	+€1.94
M38	Port Vale · Home19 Mar 2022	19 Mar 2022	L 1-2	2.85	1.31	0	−1.31	−8.80	−€1.00
M39	Newport County · Home26 Mar 2022	26 Mar 2022	D 0-0	2.70	1.34	1	−0.34	−9.15	−€1.00
M40	Bristol Rovers · Away2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	L 1-2	3.43	1.10	0	−1.10	−10.25	−€1.00
M41	Northampton · Away9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	D 0-0	3.82	1.04	1	−0.04	−10.28	−€1.00
M42	Tranmere · Home15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	D 1-1	2.52	1.43	1	−0.43	−10.71	−€1.00
M43	Colchester · Away18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	L 0-3	2.97	1.26	0	−1.26	−11.97	−€1.00
M44	Scunthorpe · Home23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	W 2-1	1.37	2.25	3	+0.75	−11.22	+€0.37
M45	Sutton · Away30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	W 4-1	3.95	0.99	3	+2.01	−9.21	+€2.95
M46	Carlisle · Home7 May 2022	7 May 2022	W 2-0	1.71	1.89	3	+1.11	−8.10	+€0.71
Total					66.10	58	−8.10		−€7.14