Points
80Points expected by the market
63.66Gap
+16.34Yield
+21.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.30 | +8.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 30 | +11.46 | +81.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 41 | +5.56 | +14.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.98 | −43.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.30 | +8.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 24 | +10.42 | +99.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | −0.13 | −6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.04 | +34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +5.69 | +37.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.98 | −43.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mansfield · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.03 |
| M2 | Stevenage · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.54 |
| M3 | Oldham · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.26 |
| M4 | Exeter · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.50 |
| M5 | Barrow · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −2.66 |
| M6 | Crawley Town · Home4 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.47 |
| M7 | Hartlepool · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.53 |
| M8 | Leyton Orient · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.77 |
| M9 | Walsall · Away25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −2.05 |
| M10 | Swindon · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.37 |
| M11 | Carlisle · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.78 |
| M12 | Bradford · Away16 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −1.74 |
| M13 | Colchester · Away19 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.98 |
| M14 | Newport County · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.41 |
| M15 | Harrogate · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −1.38 |
| M16 | Northampton · Home13 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.40 |
| M17 | Tranmere · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.07 |
| M18 | Salford · Away23 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.11 |
| M19 | Forest Green · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.04 |
| M20 | Port Vale · Home7 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.36 |
| M21 | Rochdale · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.67 |
| M22 | Hartlepool · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.71 |
| M23 | Swindon · Away22 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.73 |
| M24 | Scunthorpe · Away25 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.15 |
| M25 | Walsall · Home29 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.57 |
| M26 | Sutton · Away5 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +3.46 |
| M27 | Oldham · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +2.02 |
| M28 | Mansfield · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.74 |
| M29 | Sutton · Home15 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.29 |
| M30 | Stevenage · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.04 |
| M31 | Leyton Orient · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +6.85 |
| M32 | Exeter · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +6.60 |
| M33 | Barrow · Home1 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.93 |
| M34 | Newport County · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +6.79 |
| M35 | Crawley Town · Away8 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +8.34 |
| M36 | Harrogate · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +9.55 |
| M37 | Colchester · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +10.79 |
| M38 | Northampton · Away19 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +12.57 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +10.98 |
| M40 | Bradford · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +12.36 |
| M41 | Tranmere · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +11.92 |
| M42 | Salford · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +13.40 |
| M43 | Port Vale · Away18 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +15.25 |
| M44 | Forest Green · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +14.84 |
| M45 | Rochdale · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.21 | +16.04 |
| M46 | Scunthorpe · Home7 May 2022 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.30 | +16.34 |
| Total | 80 | +16.34 | |||