Points
55Points expected by the market
54.24Gap
+0.76Yield
+1.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.65 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 36 | +3.64 | +3.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | −1.24 | +9.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.65 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −3.65 | −34.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.98 | +84.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 17 | +7.29 | +82.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −2.22 | −0.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Carlisle · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.03 |
| M2 | Northampton · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.45 |
| M3 | Mansfield · Home17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.67 |
| M4 | Oldham · Away21 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.02 |
| M5 | Rochdale · Away27 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.09 |
| M6 | Barrow · Away10 Sep 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.76 |
| M7 | Crawley Town · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +0.16 |
| M8 | Swindon · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.05 |
| M9 | Salford · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.20 |
| M10 | Tranmere · Away8 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.18 |
| M11 | Harrogate · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −0.36 |
| M12 | Bristol Rovers · Home19 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.83 |
| M13 | Port Vale · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.62 |
| M14 | Sutton · Home26 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.87 |
| M15 | Scunthorpe · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.48 |
| M16 | Stevenage · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.59 |
| M17 | Exeter · Home23 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.64 |
| M18 | Newport County · Home26 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.79 |
| M19 | Bradford · Away8 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.74 |
| M20 | Walsall · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.73 |
| M21 | Crawley Town · Away1 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.78 |
| M22 | Forest Green · Away11 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −3.38 |
| M23 | Barrow · Home15 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.65 |
| M24 | Sutton · Away18 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.53 |
| M25 | Salford · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −3.38 |
| M26 | Swindon · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −3.64 |
| M27 | Rochdale · Home1 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.80 |
| M28 | Leyton Orient · Away5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −1.75 |
| M29 | Mansfield · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.57 |
| M30 | Carlisle · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −3.37 |
| M31 | Northampton · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.36 |
| M32 | Hartlepool · Home22 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −5.85 |
| M33 | Oldham · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −6.48 |
| M34 | Leyton Orient · Home1 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −6.92 |
| M35 | Port Vale · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −5.15 |
| M36 | Scunthorpe · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −3.71 |
| M37 | Bristol Rovers · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.68 |
| M38 | Forest Green · Home21 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.65 |
| M39 | Tranmere · Home26 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −4.10 |
| M40 | Harrogate · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −2.26 |
| M41 | Stevenage · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −3.73 |
| M42 | Exeter · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.39 |
| M43 | Bradford · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.83 |
| M44 | Newport County · Away22 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.29 | −0.54 |
| M45 | Walsall · Home30 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.04 |
| M46 | Hartlepool · Away7 May 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.76 |
| Total | 55 | +0.76 | |||