Points
61Points expected by the market
53.50Gap
+7.50Yield
+31.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.94 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 23 | −5.35 | −21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 30 | +11.90 | +95.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.94 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −2.97 | −17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.92 | +269.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.38 | −31.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 24 | +7.98 | +76.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hartlepool · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.14 |
| M2 | Salford · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 3-6 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.01 |
| M4 | Northampton · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.29 |
| M5 | Bristol Rovers · Away4 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.22 |
| M6 | Carlisle · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.46 |
| M7 | Colchester · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.35 |
| M8 | Harrogate · Home21 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.08 |
| M9 | Bradford · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.93 |
| M10 | Tranmere · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.76 |
| M11 | Rochdale · Away9 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +4.92 |
| M12 | Sutton · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.74 |
| M13 | Exeter · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.44 |
| M14 | Scunthorpe · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +0.87 |
| M15 | Port Vale · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.33 |
| M16 | Barrow · Away20 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.64 |
| M17 | Newport County · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.52 |
| M18 | Mansfield · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.14 |
| M19 | Walsall · Away7 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.15 |
| M20 | Leyton Orient · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +2.43 |
| M21 | Colchester · Home1 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.76 |
| M22 | Northampton · Away8 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +5.90 |
| M23 | Carlisle · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +5.87 |
| M24 | Stevenage · Away18 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.81 |
| M25 | Tranmere · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +3.54 |
| M26 | Bradford · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +5.63 |
| M27 | Swindon · Away1 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +5.75 |
| M28 | Stevenage · Home5 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +5.38 |
| M29 | Harrogate · Away8 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +7.39 |
| M30 | Hartlepool · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +5.93 |
| M31 | Forest Green · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +7.89 |
| M32 | Oldham · Home1 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +7.18 |
| M33 | Scunthorpe · Home5 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | +6.20 |
| M34 | Bristol Rovers · Home8 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +4.93 |
| M35 | Port Vale · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.86 | +4.07 |
| M36 | Exeter · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +3.35 |
| M37 | Swindon · Home19 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +5.15 |
| M38 | Rochdale · Home26 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.77 |
| M39 | Salford · Away29 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +5.83 |
| M40 | Barrow · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.36 |
| M41 | Newport County · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +9.48 |
| M42 | Walsall · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +10.78 |
| M43 | Mansfield · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +10.02 |
| M44 | Sutton · Away26 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +9.20 |
| M45 | Leyton Orient · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +7.87 |
| M46 | Oldham · Away7 May 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | +7.50 |
| Total | 61 | +7.50 | |||