← League Two 2021-22

Forest Green

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDLLD

Points

Points expected by the market

78.93

Gap

+5.07

Yield

−4.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	9	9.04	−0.04	+1.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	26	48	47.51	+0.49	+0.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	27	22.38	+4.62	−12.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	9	9.04	−0.04	+1.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	18	34	33.56	+0.44	+1.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	1	3	1.58	+1.42	+121.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	14	13.96	+0.04	−3.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	24	20.80	+3.20	−21.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sutton · Home7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	W 2-1	2.21	1.58	3	+1.42	+1.42	+€1.21
M2	Walsall · Away14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	W 3-1	2.66	1.36	3	+1.64	+3.06	+€1.66
M3	Rochdale · Away17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	W 2-1	2.32	1.50	3	+1.50	+4.56	+€1.32
M4	Crawley Town · Home21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	W 6-3	1.70	1.93	3	+1.07	+5.63	+€0.70
M5	Port Vale · Home28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	L 0-2	2.01	1.69	0	−1.69	+3.95	−€1.00
M6	Exeter · Away4 Sep 2021	4 Sep 2021	D 0-0	2.60	1.37	1	−0.37	+3.58	−€1.00
M7	Northampton · Home11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	W 1-0	2.04	1.66	3	+1.34	+4.91	+€1.04
M8	Stevenage · Away18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	W 4-0	2.27	1.54	3	+1.46	+6.38	+€1.27
M9	Tranmere · Home25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	D 0-0	1.64	1.97	1	−0.97	+5.40	−€1.00
M10	Carlisle · Away2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	W 2-0	2.06	1.64	3	+1.36	+6.76	+€1.06
M11	Swindon · Home9 Oct 2021	9 Oct 2021	L 0-2	1.86	1.78	0	−1.78	+4.98	−€1.00
M12	Scunthorpe · Away16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	W 2-0	1.57	2.04	3	+0.96	+5.94	+€0.57
M13	Leyton Orient · Away19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	D 1-1	2.70	1.35	1	−0.35	+5.59	−€1.00
M14	Salford · Home23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	W 3-1	1.95	1.72	3	+1.28	+6.86	+€0.95
M15	Bradford · Away30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	D 1-1	2.70	1.33	1	−0.33	+6.53	−€1.00
M16	Hartlepool · Away20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	W 3-1	2.20	1.57	3	+1.43	+7.96	+€1.20
M17	Barrow · Home23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	W 2-0	1.73	1.89	3	+1.11	+9.07	+€0.73
M18	Bristol Rovers · Home27 Nov 2021	27 Nov 2021	W 2-0	1.83	1.81	3	+1.19	+10.26	+€0.83
M19	Harrogate · Away7 Dec 2021	7 Dec 2021	W 4-1	2.18	1.58	3	+1.42	+11.68	+€1.18
M20	Oldham · Away11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	D 5-5	1.69	1.91	1	−0.91	+10.77	−€1.00
M21	Stevenage · Home1 Jan 2022	1 Jan 2022	W 2-0	1.59	2.02	3	+0.98	+11.75	+€0.59
M22	Exeter · Home4 Jan 2022	4 Jan 2022	D 0-0	1.67	1.93	1	−0.93	+10.83	−€1.00
M23	Colchester · Home11 Jan 2022	11 Jan 2022	W 2-0	1.42	2.19	3	+0.81	+11.63	+€0.42
M24	Northampton · Away15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	D 1-1	2.62	1.38	1	−0.38	+11.26	−€1.00
M25	Carlisle · Home22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	W 3-0	1.61	2.00	3	+1.00	+12.26	+€0.61
M26	Tranmere · Away29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	W 4-0	2.29	1.53	3	+1.47	+13.73	+€1.29
M27	Port Vale · Away1 Feb 2022	1 Feb 2022	D 1-1	2.55	1.41	1	−0.41	+13.32	−€1.00
M28	Newport County · Home5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	W 2-0	2.06	1.65	3	+1.35	+14.67	+€1.06
M29	Rochdale · Home8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	W 2-1	1.73	1.89	3	+1.11	+15.78	+€0.73
M30	Sutton · Away12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	D 1-1	2.15	1.60	1	−0.60	+15.19	−€1.00
M31	Walsall · Home19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	L 0-1	1.57	2.03	0	−2.03	+13.15	−€1.00
M32	Crawley Town · Away26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	L 1-2	1.99	1.69	0	−1.69	+11.46	−€1.00
M33	Newport County · Away1 Mar 2022	1 Mar 2022	D 1-1	2.72	1.33	1	−0.33	+11.13	−€1.00
M34	Salford · Away5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	D 1-1	2.37	1.48	1	−0.48	+10.65	−€1.00
M35	Bradford · Home12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	L 0-2	1.64	1.96	0	−1.96	+8.69	−€1.00
M36	Leyton Orient · Home15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	D 1-1	1.68	1.94	1	−0.94	+7.75	−€1.00
M37	Colchester · Away21 Mar 2022	21 Mar 2022	W 1-0	1.90	1.76	3	+1.24	+8.99	+€0.90
M38	Scunthorpe · Home2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	W 1-0	1.21	2.47	3	+0.53	+9.52	+€0.21
M39	Mansfield · Home5 Apr 2022	5 Apr 2022	W 1-0	2.11	1.64	3	+1.36	+10.89	+€1.11
M40	Hartlepool · Home9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	D 1-1	1.55	2.06	1	−1.06	+9.82	−€1.00
M41	Barrow · Away15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	L 0-4	1.94	1.74	0	−1.74	+8.09	−€1.00
M42	Oldham · Home18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	W 2-0	1.43	2.18	3	+0.82	+8.91	+€0.43
M43	Bristol Rovers · Away23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	D 0-0	2.84	1.29	1	−0.29	+8.62	−€1.00
M44	Swindon · Away26 Apr 2022	26 Apr 2022	L 1-2	3.00	1.21	0	−1.21	+7.40	−€1.00
M45	Harrogate · Home30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	L 1-3	1.41	2.20	0	−2.20	+5.21	−€1.00
M46	Mansfield · Away7 May 2022	7 May 2022	D 2-2	3.21	1.14	1	−0.14	+5.07	−€1.00
Total					78.93	84	+5.07		−€1.93