Points
53Points expected by the market
60.99Gap
−7.99Yield
−14.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −0.57 | −14.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 31 | −5.25 | −22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −2.17 | +6.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −1.87 | −28.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −6.40 | −49.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.30 | +98.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.15 | +6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.18 | +17.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rochdale · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.42 |
| M2 | Barrow · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.91 |
| M3 | Leyton Orient · Away24 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +4.61 |
| M4 | Exeter · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +3.98 |
| M5 | Mansfield · Away4 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +5.94 |
| M6 | Newport County · Home10 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +5.26 |
| M7 | Port Vale · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +4.04 |
| M8 | Crawley Town · Away21 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.61 |
| M9 | Stevenage · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +2.89 |
| M10 | Oldham · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.34 |
| M11 | Scunthorpe · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +5.29 |
| M12 | Colchester · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +3.77 |
| M13 | Tranmere · Home19 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +3.23 |
| M14 | Hartlepool · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.87 |
| M15 | Bristol Rovers · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +0.11 |
| M16 | Walsall · Away13 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.85 |
| M17 | Salford · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.40 |
| M18 | Carlisle · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.03 |
| M19 | Swindon · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.03 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Home7 Dec 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.88 |
| M21 | Northampton · Home11 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.56 |
| M22 | Sutton · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.76 |
| M23 | Newport County · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.82 |
| M24 | Oldham · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −1.53 |
| M25 | Stevenage · Away29 Jan 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.71 |
| M26 | Mansfield · Home1 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.03 |
| M27 | Bradford · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.48 |
| M28 | Crawley Town · Home8 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −3.22 |
| M29 | Rochdale · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.30 |
| M30 | Exeter · Away15 Feb 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −4.21 |
| M31 | Bradford · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.39 |
| M32 | Barrow · Away26 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.59 |
| M33 | Port Vale · Home1 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.86 |
| M34 | Hartlepool · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.36 |
| M35 | Bristol Rovers · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.31 |
| M36 | Tranmere · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.30 |
| M37 | Walsall · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −6.56 |
| M38 | Leyton Orient · Home22 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −7.92 |
| M39 | Scunthorpe · Away26 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −6.62 |
| M40 | Colchester · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −8.18 |
| M41 | Salford · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −9.14 |
| M42 | Swindon · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −10.28 |
| M43 | Northampton · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −10.94 |
| M44 | Carlisle · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −9.39 |
| M45 | Forest Green · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.39 | −7.00 |
| M46 | Sutton · Home7 May 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −7.99 |
| Total | 53 | −7.99 | |||