Points
54Points expected by the market
58.20Gap
−4.20Yield
−14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.27 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 37 | −1.13 | −9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −3.14 | −25.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.27 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 26 | +2.23 | +1.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −3.37 | −23.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −1.30 | −10.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crawley Town · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Barrow · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.32 |
| M3 | Walsall · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.70 |
| M4 | Carlisle · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.21 |
| M5 | Tranmere · Away4 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +1.95 |
| M6 | Bristol Rovers · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.30 |
| M7 | Sutton · Away14 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.16 |
| M8 | Oldham · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.67 |
| M9 | Exeter · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.32 |
| M10 | Stevenage · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.17 |
| M11 | Northampton · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.68 |
| M12 | Salford · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +0.66 |
| M13 | Bradford · Away19 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.69 |
| M14 | Harrogate · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.67 | +4.36 |
| M15 | Leyton Orient · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.98 | +3.38 |
| M16 | Newport County · Home12 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.11 |
| M17 | Forest Green · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.97 |
| M18 | Swindon · Away23 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.08 |
| M19 | Port Vale · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.93 |
| M20 | Rochdale · Home8 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.73 |
| M21 | Scunthorpe · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.10 |
| M22 | Mansfield · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.24 |
| M23 | Oldham · Home1 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.85 |
| M24 | Bristol Rovers · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.95 |
| M25 | Carlisle · Away18 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.09 |
| M26 | Stevenage · Home22 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −3.60 |
| M27 | Exeter · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −3.49 |
| M28 | Barrow · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.99 |
| M29 | Crawley Town · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.23 |
| M30 | Tranmere · Home15 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.27 |
| M31 | Sutton · Home19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.93 |
| M32 | Colchester · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.72 |
| M33 | Walsall · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.55 |
| M34 | Harrogate · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +3.34 |
| M35 | Leyton Orient · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +2.78 |
| M36 | Bradford · Home15 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +1.36 |
| M37 | Newport County · Away18 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.17 | +3.53 |
| M38 | Northampton · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +2.53 |
| M39 | Mansfield · Home29 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | +2.28 |
| M40 | Salford · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.06 |
| M41 | Forest Green · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +1.37 |
| M42 | Port Vale · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.48 |
| M43 | Rochdale · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.53 |
| M44 | Swindon · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.48 |
| M45 | Scunthorpe · Away30 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | −2.68 |
| M46 | Colchester · Home7 May 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.20 |
| Total | 54 | −4.20 | |||