Points
77Points expected by the market
70.12Gap
+6.88Yield
+1.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 35 | +5.34 | +22.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 38 | +4.04 | +2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.24 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +6.04 | +27.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 17 | +5.10 | +42.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.69 | −10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 21 | −1.06 | −17.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.24 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bristol Rovers · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.31 |
| M2 | Newport County · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.56 |
| M3 | Colchester · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.08 |
| M4 | Bradford · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +0.44 |
| M5 | Swindon · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.03 |
| M6 | Harrogate · Home4 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.71 |
| M7 | Walsall · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −4.27 |
| M8 | Rochdale · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.77 |
| M9 | Leyton Orient · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −4.79 |
| M10 | Barrow · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −6.29 |
| M11 | Oldham · Home9 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −7.01 |
| M12 | Northampton · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.17 |
| M13 | Port Vale · Home19 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −8.38 |
| M14 | Exeter · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.42 |
| M15 | Tranmere · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −7.93 |
| M16 | Stevenage · Away13 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −6.24 |
| M17 | Scunthorpe · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −5.03 |
| M18 | Sutton · Away23 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −6.16 |
| M19 | Crawley Town · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −4.47 |
| M20 | Carlisle · Home7 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.11 |
| M21 | Salford · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.65 |
| M22 | Hartlepool · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.21 |
| M23 | Swindon · Home11 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.16 |
| M24 | Walsall · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.50 |
| M25 | Barrow · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.12 |
| M26 | Leyton Orient · Home29 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +5.58 |
| M27 | Harrogate · Away1 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +5.18 |
| M28 | Colchester · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +6.27 |
| M29 | Bristol Rovers · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +5.84 |
| M30 | Newport County · Away19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +5.67 |
| M31 | Bradford · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +7.30 |
| M32 | Exeter · Home4 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +8.76 |
| M33 | Tranmere · Away11 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +7.29 |
| M34 | Port Vale · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +6.19 |
| M35 | Rochdale · Away22 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.69 |
| M36 | Oldham · Away26 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.85 |
| M37 | Hartlepool · Away29 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +8.40 |
| M38 | Northampton · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +9.79 |
| M39 | Forest Green · Away5 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +8.72 |
| M40 | Scunthorpe · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +9.45 |
| M41 | Sutton · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.66 | +7.80 |
| M42 | Carlisle · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | +5.94 |
| M43 | Crawley Town · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +6.92 |
| M44 | Stevenage · Home26 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +7.96 |
| M45 | Salford · Away2 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +7.47 |
| M46 | Forest Green · Home7 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +6.88 |
| Total | 77 | +6.88 | |||