← League Two 2021-22

Newport County

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLWL

Points

Points expected by the market

68.06

Gap

+0.94

Yield

+2.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	17	30	30.06	−0.06	+3.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	24	35	33.13	+1.87	−0.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	4	4.87	−0.87	+16.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	15	26	26.72	−0.72	+4.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	7	11.63	−4.63	−71.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	4	3.34	+0.66	−4.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	28	21.50	+6.50	+34.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	4	4.87	−0.87	+16.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Oldham · Away7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	W 1-0	2.21	1.57	3	+1.43	+1.43	+€1.21
M2	Mansfield · Away14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	L 1-2	4.33	0.95	0	−0.95	+0.49	−€1.00
M3	Tranmere · Away21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	W 1-0	3.01	1.26	3	+1.74	+2.23	+€2.01
M4	Salford · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	L 0-3	3.56	1.10	0	−1.10	+1.13	−€1.00
M5	Leyton Orient · Home4 Sep 2021	4 Sep 2021	D 2-2	2.66	1.38	1	−0.38	+0.75	−€1.00
M6	Harrogate · Away10 Sep 2021	10 Sep 2021	D 2-2	3.72	1.04	1	−0.04	+0.71	−€1.00
M7	Northampton · Home14 Sep 2021	14 Sep 2021	L 0-1	2.29	1.53	0	−1.53	−0.82	−€1.00
M8	Walsall · Home18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	W 2-1	2.32	1.53	3	+1.47	+0.65	+€1.32
M9	Barrow · Away24 Sep 2021	24 Sep 2021	L 1-2	3.42	1.12	0	−1.12	−0.47	−€1.00
M10	Scunthorpe · Home2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	W 3-0	1.72	1.91	3	+1.09	+0.61	+€0.72
M11	Bradford · Home9 Oct 2021	9 Oct 2021	D 0-0	2.46	1.44	1	−0.44	+0.18	−€1.00
M12	Exeter · Away16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	D 2-2	3.27	1.15	1	−0.15	+0.02	−€1.00
M13	Carlisle · Home19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	D 2-2	2.03	1.67	1	−0.67	−0.65	−€1.00
M14	Bristol Rovers · Away23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	W 3-1	2.82	1.29	3	+1.71	+1.06	+€1.82
M15	Stevenage · Home30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	W 5-0	2.00	1.69	3	+1.31	+2.37	+€1.00
M16	Hartlepool · Away12 Nov 2021	12 Nov 2021	W 2-1	2.47	1.43	3	+1.57	+3.94	+€1.47
M17	Swindon · Home20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	L 1-2	2.46	1.44	0	−1.44	+2.49	−€1.00
M18	Crawley Town · Away23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	D 1-1	2.15	1.60	1	−0.60	+1.90	−€1.00
M19	Colchester · Away26 Nov 2021	26 Nov 2021	D 1-1	2.23	1.56	1	−0.56	+1.34	−€1.00
M20	Sutton · Home7 Dec 2021	7 Dec 2021	W 3-2	1.85	1.78	3	+1.22	+2.55	+€0.85
M21	Port Vale · Home11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	W 2-1	2.12	1.62	3	+1.38	+3.93	+€1.12
M22	Rochdale · Away18 Dec 2021	18 Dec 2021	L 0-3	2.50	1.41	0	−1.41	+2.52	−€1.00
M23	Walsall · Away1 Jan 2022	1 Jan 2022	D 3-3	2.48	1.44	1	−0.44	+2.08	−€1.00
M24	Salford · Home8 Jan 2022	8 Jan 2022	L 0-2	2.02	1.68	0	−1.68	+0.41	−€1.00
M25	Harrogate · Home15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	W 4-0	2.02	1.66	3	+1.34	+1.74	+€1.02
M26	Scunthorpe · Away22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	W 1-0	1.92	1.74	3	+1.26	+3.00	+€0.92
M27	Leyton Orient · Away25 Jan 2022	25 Jan 2022	W 1-0	3.02	1.22	3	+1.78	+4.78	+€2.02
M28	Barrow · Home29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	W 2-1	1.67	1.94	3	+1.06	+5.84	+€0.67
M29	Forest Green · Away5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	L 0-2	3.59	1.07	0	−1.07	+4.77	−€1.00
M30	Northampton · Away8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	L 0-1	2.76	1.34	0	−1.34	+3.44	−€1.00
M31	Oldham · Home12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	D 3-3	1.62	1.98	1	−0.98	+2.46	−€1.00
M32	Mansfield · Home19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	D 1-1	2.24	1.54	1	−0.54	+1.92	−€1.00
M33	Tranmere · Home26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	W 4-2	2.15	1.61	3	+1.39	+3.30	+€1.15
M34	Forest Green · Home1 Mar 2022	1 Mar 2022	D 1-1	2.63	1.37	1	−0.37	+2.93	−€1.00
M35	Bristol Rovers · Home5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	W 1-0	2.18	1.58	3	+1.42	+4.36	+€1.18
M36	Stevenage · Away12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	W 2-0	2.33	1.51	3	+1.49	+5.85	+€1.33
M37	Carlisle · Away15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	W 2-1	2.31	1.52	3	+1.48	+7.33	+€1.31
M38	Hartlepool · Home18 Mar 2022	18 Mar 2022	L 2-3	1.71	1.91	0	−1.91	+5.42	−€1.00
M39	Bradford · Away26 Mar 2022	26 Mar 2022	D 0-0	2.66	1.36	1	−0.36	+5.06	−€1.00
M40	Exeter · Home2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	L 0-1	2.56	1.40	0	−1.40	+3.66	−€1.00
M41	Swindon · Away9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	W 1-0	3.36	1.12	3	+1.88	+5.54	+€2.36
M42	Crawley Town · Home15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	L 1-2	1.73	1.87	0	−1.87	+3.67	−€1.00
M43	Sutton · Away18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	L 0-1	3.13	1.21	0	−1.21	+2.46	−€1.00
M44	Colchester · Home22 Apr 2022	22 Apr 2022	L 1-2	1.54	2.06	0	−2.06	+0.40	−€1.00
M45	Port Vale · Away2 May 2022	2 May 2022	W 2-1	5.84	0.72	3	+2.28	+2.68	+€4.84
M46	Rochdale · Home7 May 2022	7 May 2022	L 0-2	1.90	1.74	0	−1.74	+0.94	−€1.00
Total					68.06	69	+0.94		+€1.32