Points
80Points expected by the market
68.21Gap
+11.79Yield
+19.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 34 | +4.24 | +13.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 45 | +9.82 | +37.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.26 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 27 | +2.56 | +10.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.09 | +40.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.67 | +26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 28 | +5.73 | +35.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Port Vale · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.50 |
| M2 | Colchester · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.22 |
| M3 | Rochdale · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.67 | +1.55 |
| M4 | Crawley Town · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.15 |
| M5 | Scunthorpe · Home4 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.37 |
| M6 | Forest Green · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.31 |
| M7 | Newport County · Away14 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.14 |
| M8 | Swindon · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +2.60 |
| M9 | Salford · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.46 |
| M10 | Sutton · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.06 |
| M11 | Hartlepool · Away9 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.15 |
| M12 | Mansfield · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.30 |
| M13 | Stevenage · Home19 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.76 |
| M14 | Tranmere · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +4.58 |
| M15 | Carlisle · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.94 |
| M16 | Bristol Rovers · Away13 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +4.46 |
| M17 | Bradford · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +4.26 |
| M18 | Oldham · Home23 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +5.35 |
| M19 | Leyton Orient · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +7.12 |
| M20 | Exeter · Away7 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +8.94 |
| M21 | Harrogate · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +10.68 |
| M22 | Swindon · Away1 Jan 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.30 | +9.39 |
| M23 | Crawley Town · Home8 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | +7.52 |
| M24 | Forest Green · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +7.20 |
| M25 | Sutton · Away22 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +6.91 |
| M26 | Salford · Home29 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +8.26 |
| M27 | Barrow · Home1 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +6.48 |
| M28 | Walsall · Away5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +8.04 |
| M29 | Newport County · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +9.69 |
| M30 | Port Vale · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +9.58 |
| M31 | Colchester · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +10.88 |
| M32 | Scunthorpe · Away22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +10.14 |
| M33 | Rochdale · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +8.86 |
| M34 | Walsall · Home1 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +8.19 |
| M35 | Tranmere · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +9.54 |
| M36 | Carlisle · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +7.99 |
| M37 | Stevenage · Away15 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +9.55 |
| M38 | Bristol Rovers · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +8.08 |
| M39 | Hartlepool · Home26 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.38 |
| M40 | Mansfield · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +8.30 |
| M41 | Bradford · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +7.63 |
| M42 | Oldham · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +9.04 |
| M43 | Harrogate · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +9.93 |
| M44 | Leyton Orient · Away23 Apr 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.52 | +11.45 |
| M45 | Exeter · Home30 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +10.79 |
| M46 | Barrow · Away7 May 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +11.79 |
| Total | 80 | +11.79 | |||