Points
38Points expected by the market
48.45Gap
−10.45Yield
−29.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 19 | −3.48 | −16.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 19 | −5.35 | −35.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 15 | −5.11 | −24.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.69 | −36.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.63 | +45.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 15 | −3.67 | −35.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newport County · Home7 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.15 |
| M2 | Bradford · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.05 |
| M3 | Bristol Rovers · Away17 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.06 |
| M4 | Colchester · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.47 |
| M5 | Sutton · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −2.38 |
| M6 | Barrow · Home4 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.76 |
| M7 | Leyton Orient · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −4.57 |
| M8 | Hartlepool · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −4.79 |
| M9 | Rochdale · Away25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −2.56 |
| M10 | Harrogate · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.74 |
| M11 | Mansfield · Away9 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.76 |
| M12 | Stevenage · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −2.12 |
| M13 | Walsall · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.40 |
| M14 | Carlisle · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.42 |
| M15 | Swindon · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.53 |
| M16 | Exeter · Away13 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −5.33 |
| M17 | Port Vale · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.99 | −3.34 |
| M18 | Northampton · Away23 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.16 |
| M19 | Salford · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.13 |
| M20 | Tranmere · Home7 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −6.48 |
| M21 | Forest Green · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 5-5 | 1 | +0.15 | −6.32 |
| M22 | Scunthorpe · Home26 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −7.95 |
| M23 | Barrow · Away29 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −7.99 |
| M24 | Hartlepool · Away1 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −8.09 |
| M25 | Harrogate · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.12 |
| M26 | Rochdale · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −9.24 |
| M27 | Scunthorpe · Away5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −7.50 |
| M28 | Bristol Rovers · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −5.77 |
| M29 | Newport County · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.22 | −5.55 |
| M30 | Bradford · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −3.70 |
| M31 | Colchester · Away26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.77 |
| M32 | Crawley Town · Away1 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.79 |
| M33 | Carlisle · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.29 |
| M34 | Swindon · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −6.21 |
| M35 | Walsall · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −6.99 |
| M36 | Exeter · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −7.83 |
| M37 | Sutton · Home22 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.90 |
| M38 | Mansfield · Home26 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −9.81 |
| M39 | Leyton Orient · Home29 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −7.98 |
| M40 | Stevenage · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −5.99 |
| M41 | Port Vale · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −6.69 |
| M42 | Northampton · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −7.81 |
| M43 | Forest Green · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −8.42 |
| M44 | Salford · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −9.43 |
| M45 | Tranmere · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −10.09 |
| M46 | Crawley Town · Home7 May 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.36 | −10.45 |
| Total | 38 | −10.45 | |||