Points
53Points expected by the market
63.34Gap
−10.34Yield
−30.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 18 | −2.80 | −33.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 29 | −8.98 | −43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.43 | +47.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.38 | −38.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +1.42 | −16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.59 | −8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 11 | −10.39 | −62.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.37 | +84.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Harrogate · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.13 |
| M2 | Scunthorpe · Home14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | −2.11 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Home17 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.32 |
| M4 | Northampton · Away21 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −1.37 |
| M5 | Colchester · Home27 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −1.98 |
| M6 | Port Vale · Away4 Sep 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.07 |
| M7 | Tranmere · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.32 |
| M8 | Mansfield · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.09 |
| M9 | Oldham · Home25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | −0.90 |
| M10 | Bradford · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.11 |
| M11 | Crawley Town · Home9 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −4.02 |
| M12 | Swindon · Away16 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.12 |
| M13 | Salford · Away19 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −4.24 |
| M14 | Sutton · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.69 |
| M15 | Barrow · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.96 |
| M16 | Leyton Orient · Home13 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.33 |
| M17 | Walsall · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.63 |
| M18 | Stevenage · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.34 |
| M19 | Exeter · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.77 |
| M20 | Hartlepool · Away8 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.14 |
| M21 | Bristol Rovers · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.55 |
| M22 | Newport County · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −3.87 |
| M23 | Tranmere · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.08 |
| M24 | Bradford · Home22 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −5.44 |
| M25 | Oldham · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −6.05 |
| M26 | Colchester · Away1 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −6.60 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −7.46 |
| M28 | Harrogate · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.65 | −8.10 |
| M29 | Scunthorpe · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −6.90 |
| M30 | Port Vale · Home22 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −7.35 |
| M31 | Northampton · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −5.76 |
| M32 | Carlisle · Away1 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −7.26 |
| M33 | Sutton · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −8.46 |
| M34 | Barrow · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −9.04 |
| M35 | Salford · Home15 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −9.46 |
| M36 | Leyton Orient · Away19 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −10.64 |
| M37 | Mansfield · Home22 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −11.85 |
| M38 | Crawley Town · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −13.17 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Home29 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −11.82 |
| M40 | Swindon · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −12.25 |
| M41 | Walsall · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −10.79 |
| M42 | Stevenage · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.98 |
| M43 | Hartlepool · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −10.69 |
| M44 | Exeter · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −11.39 |
| M45 | Bristol Rovers · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −12.34 |
| M46 | Newport County · Away7 May 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −10.34 |
| Total | 53 | −10.34 | |||