Points
26Points expected by the market
40.44Gap
−14.44Yield
−69.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −1.84 | +12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 37 | 17 | −12.61 | −89.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −3.73 | −16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −3.42 | −74.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.90 | +240.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 7 | −9.19 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swindon · Home7 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.34 |
| M2 | Rochdale · Away14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −1.12 |
| M3 | Walsall · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −1.12 |
| M4 | Sutton · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.19 |
| M5 | Tranmere · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.77 |
| M6 | Northampton · Away4 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.16 |
| M7 | Exeter · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.26 |
| M8 | Carlisle · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −1.02 |
| M9 | Port Vale · Home25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.88 |
| M10 | Newport County · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.70 |
| M11 | Harrogate · Away9 Oct 2021 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.41 |
| M12 | Forest Green · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.13 |
| M13 | Barrow · Away19 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −3.84 |
| M14 | Crawley Town · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −1.97 |
| M15 | Colchester · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.07 |
| M16 | Salford · Home13 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −3.11 |
| M17 | Mansfield · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.04 |
| M18 | Leyton Orient · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −3.98 |
| M19 | Bradford · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −4.00 |
| M20 | Stevenage · Away7 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −3.94 |
| M21 | Hartlepool · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −3.83 |
| M22 | Oldham · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.94 |
| M23 | Carlisle · Home1 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.20 |
| M24 | Tranmere · Away8 Jan 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −4.01 |
| M25 | Exeter · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −4.74 |
| M26 | Newport County · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.73 |
| M27 | Bristol Rovers · Home25 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −6.87 |
| M28 | Port Vale · Away29 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −7.51 |
| M29 | Oldham · Home5 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −8.95 |
| M30 | Walsall · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −7.11 |
| M31 | Swindon · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −7.86 |
| M32 | Rochdale · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −8.79 |
| M33 | Northampton · Home22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −8.75 |
| M34 | Sutton · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −9.44 |
| M35 | Crawley Town · Away5 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −9.21 |
| M36 | Colchester · Home12 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −10.35 |
| M37 | Barrow · Home15 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −11.48 |
| M38 | Salford · Away19 Mar 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.57 | −12.05 |
| M39 | Harrogate · Home26 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −13.07 |
| M40 | Forest Green · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.38 | −13.45 |
| M41 | Mansfield · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −13.99 |
| M42 | Leyton Orient · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −14.50 |
| M43 | Stevenage · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −14.09 |
| M44 | Bradford · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −14.64 |
| M45 | Hartlepool · Home30 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.41 | −14.23 |
| M46 | Bristol Rovers · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.21 | −14.44 |
| Total | 26 | −14.44 | |||