← League Two 2021-22

Stevenage

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWLLW

Points

Points expected by the market

59.83

Gap

−12.83

Yield

−41.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.19	−1.19	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	10	8.41	+1.59	+25.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	29	32	38.77	−6.77	−28.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	4	10.46	−6.46	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	10	8.41	+1.59	+25.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	18	23	24.88	−1.88	−19.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.19	−1.19	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	9	13.89	−4.89	−43.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	4	10.46	−6.46	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Barrow · Home7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	W 1-0	2.12	1.63	3	+1.37	+1.37	+€1.12
M2	Bristol Rovers · Away14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	W 2-0	3.13	1.19	3	+1.81	+3.17	+€2.13
M3	Bradford · Away17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	L 1-4	3.42	1.14	0	−1.14	+2.04	−€1.00
M4	Port Vale · Home21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	D 1-1	2.76	1.34	1	−0.34	+1.69	−€1.00
M5	Walsall · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	L 0-1	2.56	1.41	0	−1.41	+0.29	−€1.00
M6	Swindon · Home4 Sep 2021	4 Sep 2021	D 1-1	2.30	1.53	1	−0.53	−0.24	−€1.00
M7	Sutton · Away11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	L 1-2	2.81	1.32	0	−1.32	−1.57	−€1.00
M8	Forest Green · Home18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	L 0-4	3.23	1.17	0	−1.17	−2.74	−€1.00
M9	Harrogate · Away25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	D 0-0	3.86	1.00	1	0.00	−2.74	−€1.00
M10	Hartlepool · Home2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	W 2-0	2.28	1.54	3	+1.46	−1.28	+€1.28
M11	Exeter · Home9 Oct 2021	9 Oct 2021	D 2-2	2.61	1.38	1	−0.38	−1.66	−€1.00
M12	Oldham · Away16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	L 0-3	2.70	1.34	0	−1.34	−3.00	−€1.00
M13	Northampton · Away19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	L 0-3	3.32	1.15	0	−1.15	−4.16	−€1.00
M14	Leyton Orient · Home23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	D 0-0	3.02	1.25	1	−0.25	−4.40	−€1.00
M15	Newport County · Away30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	L 0-5	3.80	1.02	0	−1.02	−5.43	−€1.00
M16	Mansfield · Home13 Nov 2021	13 Nov 2021	L 1-2	2.60	1.39	0	−1.39	−6.82	−€1.00
M17	Colchester · Home20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	W 1-0	2.15	1.60	3	+1.40	−5.42	+€1.15
M18	Rochdale · Away23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	D 2-2	3.79	1.02	1	−0.02	−5.44	−€1.00
M19	Scunthorpe · Home7 Dec 2021	7 Dec 2021	D 1-1	1.86	1.79	1	−0.79	−6.23	−€1.00
M20	Carlisle · Home11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	L 0-2	2.47	1.45	0	−1.45	−7.68	−€1.00
M21	Salford · Away18 Dec 2021	18 Dec 2021	L 0-1	4.82	0.86	0	−0.86	−8.54	−€1.00
M22	Swindon · Away29 Dec 2021	29 Dec 2021	D 0-0	3.72	1.03	1	−0.03	−8.57	−€1.00
M23	Forest Green · Away1 Jan 2022	1 Jan 2022	L 0-2	5.63	0.74	0	−0.74	−9.31	−€1.00
M24	Walsall · Home8 Jan 2022	8 Jan 2022	W 3-1	2.69	1.36	3	+1.64	−7.67	+€1.69
M25	Sutton · Home15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	D 3-3	2.65	1.37	1	−0.37	−8.03	−€1.00
M26	Crawley Town · Home18 Jan 2022	18 Jan 2022	W 2-1	2.01	1.67	3	+1.33	−6.71	+€1.01
M27	Hartlepool · Away22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	D 1-1	3.13	1.20	1	−0.20	−6.90	−€1.00
M28	Harrogate · Home29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	W 3-0	2.30	1.52	3	+1.48	−5.42	+€1.30
M29	Tranmere · Away1 Feb 2022	1 Feb 2022	L 0-1	3.64	1.10	0	−1.10	−6.53	−€1.00
M30	Crawley Town · Away5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	D 2-2	2.75	1.33	1	−0.33	−6.85	−€1.00
M31	Bradford · Home8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	L 0-1	2.90	1.28	0	−1.28	−8.13	−€1.00
M32	Barrow · Away12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	D 0-0	3.20	1.19	1	−0.19	−8.32	−€1.00
M33	Bristol Rovers · Home19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	L 0-4	2.45	1.45	0	−1.45	−9.77	−€1.00
M34	Port Vale · Away26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	L 0-2	4.60	0.90	0	−0.90	−10.67	−€1.00
M35	Leyton Orient · Away5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	D 2-2	3.50	1.12	1	−0.12	−10.79	−€1.00
M36	Newport County · Home12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	L 0-2	3.13	1.20	0	−1.20	−11.99	−€1.00
M37	Northampton · Home15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	L 1-2	3.07	1.24	0	−1.24	−13.23	−€1.00
M38	Exeter · Away26 Mar 2022	26 Mar 2022	L 1-2	4.64	0.87	0	−0.87	−14.10	−€1.00
M39	Oldham · Home2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	L 0-1	1.99	1.70	0	−1.70	−15.80	−€1.00
M40	Colchester · Away9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	W 2-0	3.07	1.22	3	+1.78	−14.02	+€2.07
M41	Rochdale · Home15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	W 1-0	2.36	1.50	3	+1.50	−12.52	+€1.36
M42	Scunthorpe · Away18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	D 1-1	1.43	2.19	1	−1.19	−13.72	−€1.00
M43	Tranmere · Home23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	W 2-0	2.27	1.55	3	+1.45	−12.27	+€1.27
M44	Mansfield · Away26 Apr 2022	26 Apr 2022	L 0-2	5.33	0.79	0	−0.79	−13.06	−€1.00
M45	Carlisle · Away30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	L 1-2	2.56	1.40	0	−1.40	−14.46	−€1.00
M46	Salford · Home7 May 2022	7 May 2022	W 4-2	2.57	1.37	3	+1.63	−12.83	+€1.57
Total					59.83	47	−12.83		−€19.05