Points
76Points expected by the market
65.08Gap
+10.92Yield
+11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +2.27 | +9.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 51 | +10.74 | +26.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −2.09 | −49.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +0.31 | +0.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 34 | +10.51 | +47.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.96 | +30.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +0.23 | +1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −2.09 | −49.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Forest Green · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Salford · Away14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −1.10 |
| M3 | Scunthorpe · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.72 |
| M4 | Oldham · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −3.55 |
| M5 | Stevenage · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −1.91 |
| M6 | Hartlepool · Home14 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −0.48 |
| M7 | Exeter · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.58 |
| M8 | Carlisle · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.11 |
| M9 | Northampton · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.59 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.18 |
| M11 | Crawley Town · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.65 |
| M12 | Swindon · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +3.16 |
| M13 | Rochdale · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.90 |
| M14 | Colchester · Away26 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.45 |
| M15 | Walsall · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +1.94 |
| M16 | Tranmere · Away13 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.64 |
| M17 | Leyton Orient · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | +2.53 |
| M18 | Mansfield · Home23 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.95 |
| M19 | Barrow · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +5.27 |
| M20 | Newport County · Away7 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +4.32 |
| M21 | Bradford · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +4.30 |
| M22 | Harrogate · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.77 |
| M23 | Exeter · Home1 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +7.24 |
| M24 | Stevenage · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | +6.91 |
| M25 | Colchester · Home18 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +8.05 |
| M26 | Northampton · Home22 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +7.65 |
| M27 | Carlisle · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +9.33 |
| M28 | Bristol Rovers · Home5 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +8.73 |
| M29 | Salford · Home8 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +8.26 |
| M30 | Forest Green · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +8.15 |
| M31 | Bristol Rovers · Away15 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +6.89 |
| M32 | Hartlepool · Away19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +6.55 |
| M33 | Scunthorpe · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +7.47 |
| M34 | Rochdale · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.96 |
| M35 | Walsall · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +7.77 |
| M36 | Swindon · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +6.81 |
| M37 | Tranmere · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +6.32 |
| M38 | Oldham · Away22 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +7.67 |
| M39 | Port Vale · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +6.67 |
| M40 | Leyton Orient · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +8.15 |
| M41 | Mansfield · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.93 | +10.08 |
| M42 | Newport County · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +11.59 |
| M43 | Barrow · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +10.34 |
| M44 | Crawley Town · Home26 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +11.41 |
| M45 | Bradford · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.73 | +9.69 |
| M46 | Harrogate · Away7 May 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +10.92 |
| Total | 76 | +10.92 | |||