Points
75Points expected by the market
62.77Gap
+12.23Yield
+13.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.39 | +26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 34 | 52 | +6.99 | +5.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +1.96 | +45.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.05 | +52.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 32 | +9.71 | +59.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.90 | +252.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 20 | −2.72 | −42.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.06 | −6.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Walsall · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Port Vale · Away14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.05 |
| M3 | Swindon · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.73 |
| M4 | Newport County · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.69 |
| M5 | Scunthorpe · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −2.34 |
| M6 | Hartlepool · Home4 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.77 |
| M7 | Rochdale · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.88 |
| M8 | Salford · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.08 |
| M9 | Forest Green · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.14 |
| M10 | Crawley Town · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.60 |
| M11 | Colchester · Home8 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.87 |
| M12 | Carlisle · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.51 |
| M13 | Harrogate · Away19 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | +4.33 |
| M14 | Northampton · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.83 |
| M15 | Mansfield · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.63 |
| M16 | Sutton · Home13 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.25 |
| M17 | Bristol Rovers · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.02 |
| M18 | Bradford · Home23 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.72 |
| M19 | Oldham · Away7 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.37 |
| M20 | Exeter · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +5.33 |
| M21 | Leyton Orient · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +6.85 |
| M22 | Barrow · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +8.38 |
| M23 | Scunthorpe · Home8 Jan 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +9.46 |
| M24 | Salford · Away11 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +9.29 |
| M25 | Rochdale · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +10.79 |
| M26 | Crawley Town · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +12.35 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Home29 Jan 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | +11.17 |
| M28 | Stevenage · Home1 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +12.60 |
| M29 | Barrow · Away5 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +12.31 |
| M30 | Swindon · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +13.84 |
| M31 | Walsall · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +12.37 |
| M32 | Hartlepool · Away15 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +11.18 |
| M33 | Port Vale · Home19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +10.83 |
| M34 | Newport County · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.08 | +9.75 |
| M35 | Northampton · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +8.71 |
| M36 | Mansfield · Home11 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +10.48 |
| M37 | Harrogate · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +11.75 |
| M38 | Sutton · Away19 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +11.55 |
| M39 | Colchester · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +10.31 |
| M40 | Carlisle · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +9.44 |
| M41 | Bristol Rovers · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +9.17 |
| M42 | Bradford · Away15 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +8.91 |
| M43 | Exeter · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +10.81 |
| M44 | Stevenage · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +9.68 |
| M45 | Oldham · Home30 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +10.56 |
| M46 | Leyton Orient · Away7 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +12.23 |
| Total | 75 | +12.23 | |||