← League Two 2022-23

AFC Wimbledon

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

57.05

Gap

−9.05

Yield

−28.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	7	11.90	−4.90	−71.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	23	28	29.88	−1.88	−15.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	16	13	15.26	−2.26	−27.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	7	11.90	−4.90	−71.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	18	18.87	−0.87	−2.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	3	1.95	+1.05	+117.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	10	11.01	−1.01	−36.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	10	13.31	−3.31	−47.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Gillingham · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	W 2-0	2.44	1.46	3	+1.54	+1.54	+€1.44
M2	Hartlepool · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.76	1.32	1	−0.32	+1.22	−€1.00
M3	Doncaster · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 2-2	1.95	1.72	1	−0.72	+0.50	−€1.00
M4	Mansfield · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 2-5	5.48	0.75	0	−0.75	−0.25	−€1.00
M5	Crawley Town · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	W 2-0	3.00	1.22	3	+1.78	+1.52	+€2.00
M6	Barrow · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.52	1.43	0	−1.43	+0.10	−€1.00
M7	Stockport · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	L 0-1	4.36	0.92	0	−0.92	−0.82	−€1.00
M8	Northampton · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 0-2	2.58	1.39	0	−1.39	−2.21	−€1.00
M9	Carlisle · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 1-2	3.46	1.11	0	−1.11	−3.32	−€1.00
M10	Bradford · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	D 2-2	4.24	0.94	1	+0.06	−3.26	−€1.00
M11	Colchester · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.25	1.54	3	+1.46	−1.80	+€1.25
M12	Walsall · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 1-3	3.95	1.01	0	−1.01	−2.81	−€1.00
M13	Sutton · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	L 0-1	2.41	1.46	0	−1.46	−4.27	−€1.00
M14	Rochdale · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 2-1	3.53	1.08	3	+1.92	−2.34	+€2.53
M15	Crewe · Home25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.16	1.60	1	−0.60	−2.94	−€1.00
M16	Harrogate · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	W 3-2	1.97	1.70	3	+1.30	−1.65	+€0.97
M17	Leyton Orient · Home8 Nov 2022	8 Nov 2022	W 2-0	3.45	1.11	3	+1.89	+0.24	+€2.45
M18	Salford · Away12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	D 0-0	3.52	1.08	1	−0.08	+0.16	−€1.00
M19	Tranmere · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	W 2-0	3.76	1.04	3	+1.96	+2.12	+€2.76
M20	Grimsby · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	W 1-0	2.63	1.36	3	+1.64	+3.76	+€1.63
M21	Swindon · Away10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	D 0-0	3.47	1.09	1	−0.09	+3.67	−€1.00
M22	Newport County · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	D 1-1	2.43	1.46	1	−0.46	+3.21	−€1.00
M23	Colchester · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	W 2-1	2.71	1.34	3	+1.66	+4.87	+€1.71
M24	Sutton · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	L 1-2	3.32	1.15	0	−1.15	+3.72	−€1.00
M25	Crewe · Away7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	D 0-0	2.45	1.45	1	−0.45	+3.27	−€1.00
M26	Bradford · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	D 0-0	2.76	1.31	1	−0.31	+2.95	−€1.00
M27	Stockport · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 1-0	4.34	0.93	3	+2.07	+5.03	+€3.34
M28	Leyton Orient · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 0-1	3.77	1.05	0	−1.05	+3.98	−€1.00
M29	Carlisle · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 0-0	3.15	1.20	1	−0.20	+3.78	−€1.00
M30	Northampton · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	D 0-0	4.31	0.94	1	+0.06	+3.83	−€1.00
M31	Hartlepool · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	D 2-2	1.78	1.85	1	−0.85	+2.98	−€1.00
M32	Gillingham · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 1-2	3.62	1.09	0	−1.09	+1.89	−€1.00
M33	Stevenage · Home28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	L 2-3	3.86	1.02	0	−1.02	+0.87	−€1.00
M34	Mansfield · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	L 1-3	3.01	1.23	0	−1.23	−0.37	−€1.00
M35	Doncaster · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	L 1-2	3.13	1.21	0	−1.21	−1.58	−€1.00
M36	Newport County · Away14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	D 1-1	4.53	0.91	1	+0.09	−1.49	−€1.00
M37	Crawley Town · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 0-1	1.95	1.72	0	−1.72	−3.21	−€1.00
M38	Barrow · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	L 1-2	5.19	0.83	0	−0.83	−4.04	−€1.00
M39	Walsall · Home28 Mar 2023	28 Mar 2023	W 2-0	2.91	1.28	3	+1.72	−2.32	+€1.91
M40	Rochdale · Home1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	L 0-1	2.10	1.62	0	−1.62	−3.94	−€1.00
M41	Harrogate · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	D 2-2	3.47	1.11	1	−0.11	−4.05	−€1.00
M42	Salford · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 2-3	3.15	1.19	0	−1.19	−5.23	−€1.00
M43	Stevenage · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 1-2	6.32	0.69	0	−0.69	−5.92	−€1.00
M44	Swindon · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 1-5	2.44	1.45	0	−1.45	−7.38	−€1.00
M45	Tranmere · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 1-1	2.02	1.68	1	−0.68	−8.06	−€1.00
M46	Grimsby · Away8 May 2023	8 May 2023	L 0-1	3.89	0.99	0	−0.99	−9.05	−€1.00
Total					57.05	48	−9.05		−€13.01