Points
76Points expected by the market
69.79Gap
+6.21Yield
+11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 33 | −5.82 | −26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 36 | +8.77 | +33.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.27 | +111.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 26 | −4.24 | −29.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.56 | +24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.58 | −18.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 25 | +6.21 | +36.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.27 | +111.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Doncaster · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Barrow · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.24 |
| M3 | Newport County · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.81 |
| M4 | Colchester · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.47 |
| M5 | Hartlepool · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.08 |
| M6 | Crewe · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −1.93 |
| M7 | Walsall · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.66 |
| M8 | Tranmere · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.06 |
| M9 | Stevenage · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.71 |
| M10 | AFC Wimbledon · Home24 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.93 |
| M11 | Harrogate · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.40 |
| M12 | Stockport · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +2.11 |
| M13 | Salford · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.89 |
| M14 | Grimsby · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.63 |
| M15 | Swindon · Home25 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +3.02 |
| M16 | Crawley Town · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +2.10 |
| M17 | Mansfield · Away8 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.07 |
| M18 | Sutton · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.73 |
| M19 | Northampton · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +4.13 |
| M20 | Leyton Orient · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +3.04 |
| M21 | Carlisle · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.76 |
| M22 | Harrogate · Home29 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.98 |
| M23 | Salford · Home1 Jan 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.44 |
| M24 | Rochdale · Home10 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +2.60 |
| M25 | AFC Wimbledon · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.20 |
| M26 | Stockport · Away24 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | +2.45 |
| M27 | Mansfield · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.06 |
| M28 | Stevenage · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +4.19 |
| M29 | Tranmere · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.78 |
| M30 | Barrow · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | +4.04 |
| M31 | Doncaster · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +5.75 |
| M32 | Gillingham · Away28 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +7.39 |
| M33 | Colchester · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +8.52 |
| M34 | Walsall · Away7 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +8.16 |
| M35 | Newport County · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +7.89 |
| M36 | Hartlepool · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | +6.82 |
| M37 | Carlisle · Home21 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +6.35 |
| M38 | Grimsby · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +7.74 |
| M39 | Crawley Town · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +7.03 |
| M40 | Sutton · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +8.43 |
| M41 | Rochdale · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +9.73 |
| M42 | Swindon · Away18 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +8.18 |
| M43 | Gillingham · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | +7.13 |
| M44 | Northampton · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +8.82 |
| M45 | Crewe · Away3 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.89 | +6.93 |
| M46 | Leyton Orient · Home8 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +6.21 |
| Total | 76 | +6.21 | |||