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← League Two 2022-23

Carlisle

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DDWLD

Points

76

Points expected by the market

66.10

Gap

+9.90

Yield

+2.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 16 36 27.25 +8.75 +37.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 24 36 33.17 +2.83 −12.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 4 5.67 −1.67 −31.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Crawley Town · Home30 Jul 2022 30 Jul 2022 W 1-0 2.47 1.43 3 +1.57 +1.57 +€1.47
M2 Colchester · Away6 Aug 2022 6 Aug 2022 D 1-1 3.15 1.18 1 −0.18 +1.39 −€1.00
M3 Swindon · Home13 Aug 2022 13 Aug 2022 D 1-1 2.53 1.39 1 −0.39 +1.00 −€1.00
M4 Stevenage · Away20 Aug 2022 20 Aug 2022 L 1-2 4.86 0.83 0 −0.83 +0.17 −€1.00
M5 Gillingham · Home27 Aug 2022 27 Aug 2022 W 1-0 2.13 1.61 3 +1.39 +1.55 +€1.13
M6 Rochdale · Home3 Sep 2022 3 Sep 2022 D 3-3 2.14 1.60 1 −0.60 +0.95 −€1.00
M7 Mansfield · Away13 Sep 2022 13 Sep 2022 D 0-0 5.25 0.78 1 +0.22 +1.17 −€1.00
M8 AFC Wimbledon · Home17 Sep 2022 17 Sep 2022 W 2-1 2.17 1.59 3 +1.41 +2.58 +€1.17
M9 Newport County · Away24 Sep 2022 24 Sep 2022 D 1-1 3.26 1.15 1 −0.15 +2.43 −€1.00
M10 Grimsby · Away27 Sep 2022 27 Sep 2022 W 2-1 3.18 1.18 3 +1.82 +4.25 +€2.18
M11 Crewe · Home1 Oct 2022 1 Oct 2022 D 0-0 1.94 1.72 1 −0.72 +3.53 −€1.00
M12 Hartlepool · Away8 Oct 2022 8 Oct 2022 W 3-1 2.53 1.41 3 +1.59 +5.12 +€1.53
M13 Doncaster · Home15 Oct 2022 15 Oct 2022 W 3-0 2.08 1.64 3 +1.36 +6.48 +€1.08
M14 Leyton Orient · Home22 Oct 2022 22 Oct 2022 L 2-3 2.86 1.28 0 −1.28 +5.20 −€1.00
M15 Stockport · Away25 Oct 2022 25 Oct 2022 L 0-2 4.17 0.94 0 −0.94 +4.26 −€1.00
M16 Tranmere · Away29 Oct 2022 29 Oct 2022 W 2-0 4.13 0.97 3 +2.03 +6.29 +€3.13
M17 Harrogate · Away8 Nov 2022 8 Nov 2022 D 3-3 2.28 1.51 1 −0.51 +5.78 −€1.00
M18 Walsall · Home12 Nov 2022 12 Nov 2022 D 0-0 2.25 1.55 1 −0.55 +5.23 −€1.00
M19 Salford · Away19 Nov 2022 19 Nov 2022 W 4-1 2.76 1.31 3 +1.69 +6.92 +€1.76
M20 Sutton · Home3 Dec 2022 3 Dec 2022 D 1-1 2.15 1.59 1 −0.59 +6.34 −€1.00
M21 Northampton · Away20 Dec 2022 20 Dec 2022 L 1-2 3.73 1.04 0 −1.04 +5.30 −€1.00
M22 Bradford · Home26 Dec 2022 26 Dec 2022 W 1-0 2.48 1.43 3 +1.57 +6.87 +€1.48
M23 Crewe · Away29 Dec 2022 29 Dec 2022 W 3-0 2.16 1.60 3 +1.40 +8.28 +€1.16
M24 Doncaster · Away1 Jan 2023 1 Jan 2023 L 1-2 2.56 1.39 0 −1.39 +6.89 −€1.00
M25 Newport County · Home14 Jan 2023 14 Jan 2023 W 2-0 2.14 1.61 3 +1.39 +8.28 +€1.14
M26 Hartlepool · Home24 Jan 2023 24 Jan 2023 W 3-1 1.57 2.03 3 +0.97 +9.25 +€0.57
M27 Rochdale · Away28 Jan 2023 28 Jan 2023 W 1-0 2.11 1.62 3 +1.38 +10.63 +€1.11
M28 Barrow · Home31 Jan 2023 31 Jan 2023 W 5-1 2.34 1.51 3 +1.49 +12.12 +€1.34
M29 Harrogate · Home4 Feb 2023 4 Feb 2023 L 0-1 1.62 1.98 0 −1.98 +10.14 −€1.00
M30 AFC Wimbledon · Away11 Feb 2023 11 Feb 2023 D 0-0 2.39 1.49 1 −0.49 +9.65 −€1.00
M31 Mansfield · Home14 Feb 2023 14 Feb 2023 L 0-4 2.16 1.60 0 −1.60 +8.05 −€1.00
M32 Colchester · Home18 Feb 2023 18 Feb 2023 W 1-0 1.93 1.74 3 +1.26 +9.30 +€0.93
M33 Crawley Town · Away25 Feb 2023 25 Feb 2023 W 5-2 2.00 1.69 3 +1.31 +10.61 +€1.00
M34 Grimsby · Home4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 W 2-0 1.94 1.74 3 +1.26 +11.87 +€0.94
M35 Swindon · Away11 Mar 2023 11 Mar 2023 W 2-1 2.50 1.42 3 +1.58 +13.45 +€1.50
M36 Stevenage · Home18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 D 0-0 2.48 1.45 1 −0.45 +13.01 −€1.00
M37 Bradford · Away21 Mar 2023 21 Mar 2023 D 0-0 3.09 1.22 1 −0.22 +12.78 −€1.00
M38 Gillingham · Away25 Mar 2023 25 Mar 2023 L 0-1 2.78 1.33 0 −1.33 +11.45 −€1.00
M39 Leyton Orient · Away1 Apr 2023 1 Apr 2023 L 0-1 3.52 1.12 0 −1.12 +10.34 −€1.00
M40 Tranmere · Home7 Apr 2023 7 Apr 2023 W 2-0 1.76 1.88 3 +1.12 +11.46 +€0.76
M41 Walsall · Away10 Apr 2023 10 Apr 2023 D 0-0 2.42 1.48 1 −0.48 +10.98 −€1.00
M42 Northampton · Home15 Apr 2023 15 Apr 2023 D 0-0 2.20 1.59 1 −0.59 +10.39 −€1.00
M43 Stockport · Home18 Apr 2023 18 Apr 2023 D 2-2 3.17 1.21 1 −0.21 +10.18 −€1.00
M44 Barrow · Away22 Apr 2023 22 Apr 2023 W 1-0 2.72 1.35 3 +1.65 +11.83 +€1.72
M45 Salford · Home29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 L 2-3 2.42 1.46 0 −1.46 +10.37 −€1.00
M46 Sutton · Away8 May 2023 8 May 2023 D 1-1 2.39 1.47 1 −0.47 +9.90 −€1.00
Total 66.10 76 +9.90 +€1.10