Points
49Points expected by the market
56.06Gap
−7.06Yield
−23.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.41 | −20.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 32 | +1.03 | +0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 10 | −6.68 | −55.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.20 | −0.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −3.14 | −28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +4.17 | +68.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 9 | −4.74 | −46.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Northampton · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.84 |
| M2 | Carlisle · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.37 |
| M3 | Stockport · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.07 |
| M4 | Bradford · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.14 |
| M5 | Leyton Orient · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.24 |
| M6 | Tranmere · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.25 |
| M7 | Hartlepool · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.04 |
| M8 | Walsall · Away13 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.98 |
| M9 | Grimsby · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −4.31 |
| M10 | Rochdale · Home24 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.88 |
| M11 | AFC Wimbledon · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.06 |
| M12 | Harrogate · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −5.55 |
| M13 | Swindon · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.59 |
| M14 | Newport County · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −7.68 |
| M15 | Crawley Town · Home25 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −8.22 |
| M16 | Stevenage · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −8.23 |
| M17 | Barrow · Away1 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −9.15 |
| M18 | Crewe · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −10.28 |
| M19 | Doncaster · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −8.67 |
| M20 | Mansfield · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −9.45 |
| M21 | Sutton · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −10.49 |
| M22 | Gillingham · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −8.67 |
| M23 | AFC Wimbledon · Home29 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −10.02 |
| M24 | Swindon · Home1 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −8.24 |
| M25 | Harrogate · Away7 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −6.39 |
| M26 | Rochdale · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −4.66 |
| M27 | Gillingham · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −6.14 |
| M28 | Salford · Home24 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −6.61 |
| M29 | Hartlepool · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −5.14 |
| M30 | Barrow · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −5.69 |
| M31 | Grimsby · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −3.71 |
| M32 | Walsall · Home14 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −4.13 |
| M33 | Carlisle · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.10 |
| M34 | Northampton · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.29 |
| M35 | Bradford · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −7.15 |
| M36 | Stockport · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −8.18 |
| M37 | Leyton Orient · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | −7.95 |
| M38 | Tranmere · Home25 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −8.52 |
| M39 | Newport County · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −8.92 |
| M40 | Stevenage · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −8.77 |
| M41 | Crewe · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −7.61 |
| M42 | Salford · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −5.55 |
| M43 | Crawley Town · Away18 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −5.97 |
| M44 | Sutton · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −4.56 |
| M45 | Doncaster · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.17 |
| M46 | Mansfield · Home8 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.06 |
| Total | 49 | −7.06 | |||