← League Two 2022-23

Crawley Town

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDWDL

Points

Points expected by the market

50.87

Gap

−4.87

Yield

−26.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	5	6.59	−1.59	−47.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	20	28	25.53	+2.47	+3.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	22	13	18.75	−5.75	−49.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	5	6.59	−1.59	−47.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	22	18.52	+3.48	+22.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	7	5.08	+1.92	+45.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	6	7.01	−1.01	−42.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	6	13.67	−7.67	−77.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Carlisle · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 0-1	2.81	1.29	0	−1.29	−1.29	−€1.00
M2	Leyton Orient · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 0-1	3.27	1.14	0	−1.14	−2.43	−€1.00
M3	Harrogate · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 0-0	3.16	1.16	1	−0.16	−2.59	−€1.00
M4	Northampton · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 2-3	3.01	1.22	0	−1.22	−3.82	−€1.00
M5	AFC Wimbledon · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 0-2	2.34	1.49	0	−1.49	−5.31	−€1.00
M6	Rochdale · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	3.36	1.12	1	−0.12	−5.42	−€1.00
M7	Salford · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	D 2-2	5.18	0.79	1	+0.21	−5.21	−€1.00
M8	Stockport · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	W 3-2	3.66	1.05	3	+1.95	−3.25	+€2.66
M9	Crewe · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 0-1	3.51	1.08	0	−1.08	−4.33	−€1.00
M10	Doncaster · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 1-4	3.13	1.17	0	−1.17	−5.51	−€1.00
M11	Stevenage · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 1-2	4.21	0.94	0	−0.94	−6.44	−€1.00
M12	Grimsby · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 0-3	4.84	0.83	0	−0.83	−7.27	−€1.00
M13	Newport County · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.71	1.32	3	+1.68	−5.60	+€1.71
M14	Mansfield · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 3-2	3.59	1.05	3	+1.95	−3.65	+€2.59
M15	Colchester · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	D 2-2	3.19	1.17	1	−0.17	−3.82	−€1.00
M16	Bradford · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	D 1-1	4.86	0.83	1	+0.17	−3.65	−€1.00
M17	Barrow · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	W 1-0	3.14	1.18	3	+1.82	−1.83	+€2.14
M18	Walsall · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 1-2	3.87	1.00	0	−1.00	−2.83	−€1.00
M19	Gillingham · Home22 Nov 2022	22 Nov 2022	D 0-0	2.25	1.54	1	−0.54	−3.37	−€1.00
M20	Swindon · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	W 2-0	3.18	1.15	3	+1.85	−1.52	+€2.18
M21	Hartlepool · Home9 Dec 2022	9 Dec 2022	L 0-2	1.87	1.76	0	−1.76	−3.28	−€1.00
M22	Sutton · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 1-2	3.17	1.19	0	−1.19	−4.47	−€1.00
M23	Stevenage · Away30 Dec 2022	30 Dec 2022	L 1-3	8.15	0.55	0	−0.55	−5.02	−€1.00
M24	Newport County · Away2 Jan 2023	2 Jan 2023	D 2-2	6.35	0.68	1	+0.32	−4.70	−€1.00
M25	Salford · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 3-2	3.29	1.13	3	+1.87	−2.84	+€2.29
M26	Gillingham · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 0-1	4.19	0.95	0	−0.95	−3.79	−€1.00
M27	Crewe · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 2-2	2.08	1.63	1	−0.63	−4.42	−€1.00
M28	Stockport · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 1-2	7.34	0.60	0	−0.60	−5.02	−€1.00
M29	Leyton Orient · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 0-1	7.08	0.62	0	−0.62	−5.64	−€1.00
M30	Carlisle · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 2-5	3.78	1.03	0	−1.03	−6.66	−€1.00
M31	Tranmere · Away28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	L 0-1	5.26	0.78	0	−0.78	−7.44	−€1.00
M32	Northampton · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	L 0-1	6.00	0.70	0	−0.70	−8.14	−€1.00
M33	Sutton · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	L 0-3	5.62	0.74	0	−0.74	−8.88	−€1.00
M34	Harrogate · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 3-1	2.64	1.36	3	+1.64	−7.24	+€1.64
M35	AFC Wimbledon · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	W 1-0	3.87	1.00	3	+2.00	−5.24	+€2.87
M36	Doncaster · Home21 Mar 2023	21 Mar 2023	D 1-1	2.16	1.59	1	−0.59	−5.83	−€1.00
M37	Rochdale · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	W 2-0	2.10	1.61	3	+1.39	−4.45	+€1.10
M38	Grimsby · Home28 Mar 2023	28 Mar 2023	D 1-1	2.49	1.42	1	−0.42	−4.86	−€1.00
M39	Mansfield · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	L 1-4	5.07	0.80	0	−0.80	−5.66	−€1.00
M40	Bradford · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	D 0-0	3.80	1.02	1	−0.02	−5.68	−€1.00
M41	Barrow · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 0-4	5.31	0.79	0	−0.79	−6.47	−€1.00
M42	Tranmere · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	W 2-1	2.23	1.56	3	+1.44	−5.02	+€1.23
M43	Colchester · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	D 0-0	2.86	1.28	1	−0.28	−5.31	−€1.00
M44	Hartlepool · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 2-0	3.46	1.10	3	+1.90	−3.40	+€2.46
M45	Walsall · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 0-0	2.29	1.53	1	−0.53	−3.94	−€1.00
M46	Swindon · Away8 May 2023	8 May 2023	L 1-2	4.00	0.94	0	−0.94	−4.87	−€1.00
Total					50.87	46	−4.87		−€12.13