← League Two 2022-23

Gillingham

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWDLW

Points

Points expected by the market

56.51

Gap

−1.51

Yield

−15.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	15	9.08	+5.92	+86.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	26	31	34.09	−3.09	−13.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	15	9	13.34	−4.34	−54.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	15	9.08	+5.92	+86.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	21	21.58	−0.58	+5.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	2	1.94	+0.06	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	10	12.51	−2.51	−43.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	13	7	11.40	−4.40	−47.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	AFC Wimbledon · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 0-2	3.06	1.23	0	−1.23	−1.23	−€1.00
M2	Rochdale · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	W 1-0	2.47	1.44	3	+1.56	+0.33	+€1.47
M3	Tranmere · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	L 0-3	3.06	1.24	0	−1.24	−0.90	−€1.00
M4	Harrogate · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-2	2.50	1.43	0	−1.43	−2.33	−€1.00
M5	Walsall · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.72	1.35	1	−0.35	−2.67	−€1.00
M6	Carlisle · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 0-1	3.50	1.10	0	−1.10	−3.77	−€1.00
M7	Swindon · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	D 0-0	2.60	1.39	1	−0.39	−4.16	−€1.00
M8	Grimsby · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	D 1-1	4.19	0.95	1	+0.05	−4.11	−€1.00
M9	Mansfield · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 0-2	3.34	1.14	0	−1.14	−5.25	−€1.00
M10	Hartlepool · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	D 0-0	2.67	1.36	1	−0.36	−5.61	−€1.00
M11	Sutton · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	W 1-0	3.25	1.16	3	+1.84	−3.77	+€2.25
M12	Crewe · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	D 1-1	3.37	1.13	1	−0.13	−3.91	−€1.00
M13	Stevenage · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	D 1-1	4.12	0.98	1	+0.02	−3.89	−€1.00
M14	Barrow · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.64	1.38	1	−0.38	−4.27	−€1.00
M15	Leyton Orient · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 0-2	5.44	0.78	0	−0.78	−5.05	−€1.00
M16	Doncaster · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 0-1	3.42	1.11	0	−1.11	−6.17	−€1.00
M17	Northampton · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 0-2	3.17	1.21	0	−1.21	−7.37	−€1.00
M18	Newport County · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 0-2	4.73	0.88	0	−0.88	−8.25	−€1.00
M19	Crawley Town · Away22 Nov 2022	22 Nov 2022	D 0-0	3.23	1.16	1	−0.16	−8.42	−€1.00
M20	Salford · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	L 0-3	2.69	1.35	0	−1.35	−9.76	−€1.00
M21	Colchester · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 0-1	2.37	1.50	0	−1.50	−11.27	−€1.00
M22	Sutton · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 1-2	4.16	0.98	0	−0.98	−12.25	−€1.00
M23	Stevenage · Away2 Jan 2023	2 Jan 2023	L 0-1	7.97	0.59	0	−0.59	−12.84	−€1.00
M24	Hartlepool · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 2-0	2.04	1.67	3	+1.33	−11.52	+€1.04
M25	Colchester · Away21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	W 2-0	3.20	1.20	3	+1.80	−9.72	+€2.20
M26	Swindon · Away28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	D 3-3	4.23	0.94	1	+0.06	−9.66	−€1.00
M27	Crawley Town · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 1-0	1.88	1.77	3	+1.23	−8.43	+€0.88
M28	Mansfield · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	L 0-2	3.69	1.06	0	−1.06	−9.49	−€1.00
M29	Grimsby · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.66	1.37	3	+1.63	−7.86	+€1.66
M30	Rochdale · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 2-0	2.45	1.45	3	+1.55	−6.32	+€1.45
M31	AFC Wimbledon · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.19	1.60	3	+1.40	−4.92	+€1.19
M32	Bradford · Home28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	L 0-2	2.78	1.32	0	−1.32	−6.24	−€1.00
M33	Harrogate · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 0-0	2.53	1.42	1	−0.42	−6.66	−€1.00
M34	Stockport · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	D 0-0	6.10	0.72	1	+0.28	−6.38	−€1.00
M35	Tranmere · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 2-0	2.40	1.49	3	+1.51	−4.87	+€1.40
M36	Walsall · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 0-2	3.20	1.20	0	−1.20	−6.07	−€1.00
M37	Crewe · Home21 Mar 2023	21 Mar 2023	W 2-1	1.65	1.98	3	+1.02	−5.05	+€0.65
M38	Carlisle · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	W 1-0	2.72	1.35	3	+1.65	−3.40	+€1.72
M39	Barrow · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	L 1-2	3.78	1.06	0	−1.06	−4.46	−€1.00
M40	Doncaster · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 1-0	1.57	2.05	3	+0.95	−3.52	+€0.57
M41	Northampton · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 1-2	4.01	1.01	0	−1.01	−4.53	−€1.00
M42	Stockport · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	D 1-1	4.33	0.96	1	+0.04	−4.49	−€1.00
M43	Leyton Orient · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	W 2-0	3.41	1.15	3	+1.85	−2.64	+€2.41
M44	Bradford · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	D 2-2	6.58	0.69	1	+0.31	−2.32	−€1.00
M45	Newport County · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	L 1-2	2.26	1.55	0	−1.55	−3.88	−€1.00
M46	Salford · Away8 May 2023	8 May 2023	W 1-0	6.82	0.63	3	+2.37	−1.51	+€5.82
Total					56.51	55	−1.51		−€7.29