Points
52Points expected by the market
53.49Gap
−1.49Yield
−7.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 28 | +2.36 | +13.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 19 | −0.53 | −6.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.82 | +17.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.46 | +5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 17 | +1.47 | +15.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swindon · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.73 |
| M2 | Crewe · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.54 |
| M3 | Crawley Town · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.02 |
| M4 | Gillingham · Away16 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.70 |
| M5 | Barrow · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | +0.66 |
| M6 | Newport County · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.66 |
| M7 | Sutton · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.57 |
| M8 | Salford · Home13 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.69 |
| M9 | Stockport · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.49 |
| M10 | Stevenage · Away24 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.26 |
| M11 | Bradford · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.45 |
| M12 | Colchester · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.67 |
| M13 | Hartlepool · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −4.23 |
| M14 | Tranmere · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.41 |
| M15 | Walsall · Away25 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.49 |
| M16 | AFC Wimbledon · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.52 |
| M17 | Carlisle · Home8 Nov 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.72 |
| M18 | Leyton Orient · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −7.70 |
| M19 | Mansfield · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −5.87 |
| M20 | Rochdale · Away3 Dec 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −3.95 |
| M21 | Grimsby · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | −2.14 |
| M22 | Bradford · Away29 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −3.10 |
| M23 | Hartlepool · Away1 Jan 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | −3.44 |
| M24 | Colchester · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.01 |
| M25 | Stevenage · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −4.99 |
| M26 | Sutton · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −6.27 |
| M27 | Carlisle · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −4.05 |
| M28 | Stockport · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.02 |
| M29 | Salford · Away14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −4.96 |
| M30 | Crewe · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −5.62 |
| M31 | Grimsby · Away21 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −5.50 |
| M32 | Swindon · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.40 |
| M33 | Northampton · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −6.46 |
| M34 | Gillingham · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.74 |
| M35 | Doncaster · Away7 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −4.80 |
| M36 | Crawley Town · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −6.15 |
| M37 | Barrow · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −4.44 |
| M38 | Tranmere · Away31 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.53 |
| M39 | AFC Wimbledon · Home7 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −5.13 |
| M40 | Leyton Orient · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −4.88 |
| M41 | Doncaster · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −5.72 |
| M42 | Walsall · Home18 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −4.28 |
| M43 | Northampton · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.23 |
| M44 | Newport County · Away25 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.05 | −3.18 |
| M45 | Mansfield · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.35 | −0.83 |
| M46 | Rochdale · Home8 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.49 |
| Total | 52 | −1.49 | |||