← League Two 2022-23

Hartlepool

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLWD

Points

Points expected by the market

46.81

Gap

−3.81

Yield

−34.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.62	−1.62	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	20	24	24.70	−0.70	−12.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	25	19	20.49	−1.49	−49.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.62	−1.62	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	21	20.09	+0.91	−12.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	4	5.90	−1.90	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	3	4.61	−1.61	−14.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	19	15	14.59	+0.41	−34.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Walsall · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 0-4	3.35	1.14	0	−1.14	−1.14	−€1.00
M2	AFC Wimbledon · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.63	1.37	1	−0.37	−1.51	−€1.00
M3	Northampton · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	L 1-2	5.90	0.72	0	−0.72	−2.23	−€1.00
M4	Tranmere · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.65	1.37	1	−0.37	−2.60	−€1.00
M5	Bradford · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 1-3	3.37	1.11	0	−1.11	−3.71	−€1.00
M6	Leyton Orient · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 2-4	6.68	0.66	0	−0.66	−4.37	−€1.00
M7	Colchester · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	D 1-1	4.26	0.93	1	+0.07	−4.30	−€1.00
M8	Crewe · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	D 1-1	3.24	1.16	1	−0.16	−4.46	−€1.00
M9	Sutton · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 0-2	5.94	0.71	0	−0.71	−5.17	−€1.00
M10	Gillingham · Home24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	D 0-0	2.76	1.33	1	−0.33	−5.50	−€1.00
M11	Mansfield · Away30 Sep 2022	30 Sep 2022	D 2-2	7.21	0.60	1	+0.40	−5.10	−€1.00
M12	Doncaster · Home4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.52	1.40	3	+1.60	−3.50	+€1.52
M13	Carlisle · Home8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 1-3	2.83	1.29	0	−1.29	−4.79	−€1.00
M14	Harrogate · Away15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	L 1-2	3.25	1.16	0	−1.16	−5.95	−€1.00
M15	Swindon · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	L 1-2	4.65	0.85	0	−0.85	−6.80	−€1.00
M16	Salford · Home25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 0-2	3.23	1.16	0	−1.16	−7.96	−€1.00
M17	Grimsby · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	W 2-1	3.12	1.19	3	+1.81	−6.14	+€2.12
M18	Stevenage · Away12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 0-1	8.39	0.53	0	−0.53	−6.68	−€1.00
M19	Barrow · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 1-3	6.20	0.69	0	−0.69	−7.37	−€1.00
M20	Stockport · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	L 0-5	5.24	0.78	0	−0.78	−8.16	−€1.00
M21	Crawley Town · Away9 Dec 2022	9 Dec 2022	W 2-0	3.89	0.98	3	+2.02	−6.14	+€2.89
M22	Rochdale · Away26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	W 2-1	3.43	1.10	3	+1.90	−4.24	+€2.43
M23	Mansfield · Home29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 1-2	3.71	1.05	0	−1.05	−5.29	−€1.00
M24	Harrogate · Home1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	D 3-3	2.57	1.37	1	−0.37	−5.66	−€1.00
M25	Gillingham · Away14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	L 0-2	3.81	1.03	0	−1.03	−6.69	−€1.00
M26	Rochdale · Home21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	W 2-0	2.81	1.31	3	+1.69	−5.00	+€1.81
M27	Carlisle · Away24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	L 1-3	5.99	0.72	0	−0.72	−5.71	−€1.00
M28	Colchester · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 1-2	3.23	1.17	0	−1.17	−6.89	−€1.00
M29	Doncaster · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 1-0	4.43	0.89	3	+2.11	−4.78	+€3.43
M30	Sutton · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 2-2	3.37	1.13	1	−0.13	−4.91	−€1.00
M31	Crewe · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 0-2	3.07	1.22	0	−1.22	−6.12	−€1.00
M32	AFC Wimbledon · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	D 2-2	4.65	0.88	1	+0.12	−6.00	−€1.00
M33	Newport County · Home21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	L 0-1	3.43	1.12	0	−1.12	−7.12	−€1.00
M34	Walsall · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	D 3-3	3.94	1.01	1	−0.01	−7.13	−€1.00
M35	Tranmere · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 1-1	4.85	0.85	1	+0.15	−6.98	−€1.00
M36	Northampton · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	D 1-1	3.60	1.08	1	−0.08	−7.06	−€1.00
M37	Bradford · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	D 2-2	6.13	0.69	1	+0.31	−6.75	−€1.00
M38	Leyton Orient · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	D 1-1	3.89	1.01	1	−0.01	−6.76	−€1.00
M39	Swindon · Home1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	W 2-1	2.59	1.37	3	+1.63	−5.13	+€1.59
M40	Grimsby · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 4-1	4.22	0.94	3	+2.06	−3.07	+€3.22
M41	Stevenage · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 1-1	4.08	0.97	1	+0.03	−3.04	−€1.00
M42	Newport County · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 0-2	4.31	0.92	0	−0.92	−3.96	−€1.00
M43	Salford · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 0-2	5.91	0.69	0	−0.69	−4.65	−€1.00
M44	Crawley Town · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 0-2	2.11	1.62	0	−1.62	−6.27	−€1.00
M45	Barrow · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 3-1	2.96	1.24	3	+1.76	−4.51	+€1.96
M46	Stockport · Away8 May 2023	8 May 2023	D 1-1	17.05	0.30	1	+0.70	−3.81	−€1.00
Total					46.81	43	−3.81		−€16.03