Points
91Points expected by the market
72.91Gap
+18.09Yield
+27.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.66 | +44.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 52 | +9.19 | +18.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 23 | +3.22 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.02 | +115.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.66 | +44.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 38 | +6.74 | +18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.47 | +53.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +2.45 | +17.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.76 | −8.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 10 | +5.05 | +158.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Grimsby · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | Crawley Town · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.80 |
| M3 | Mansfield · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.32 |
| M4 | Swindon · Away16 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.96 |
| M5 | Colchester · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.34 |
| M6 | Hartlepool · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.89 | +6.23 |
| M7 | Tranmere · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +7.40 |
| M8 | Rochdale · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +8.89 |
| M9 | Walsall · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +10.11 |
| M10 | Barrow · Away24 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +11.82 |
| M11 | Newport County · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +9.91 |
| M12 | Doncaster · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +9.31 |
| M13 | Northampton · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | +8.51 |
| M14 | Carlisle · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +10.09 |
| M15 | Gillingham · Home25 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +11.14 |
| M16 | Salford · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +12.29 |
| M17 | AFC Wimbledon · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +10.69 |
| M18 | Harrogate · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +11.95 |
| M19 | Stockport · Away19 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +13.86 |
| M20 | Bradford · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +15.24 |
| M21 | Sutton · Home17 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +16.37 |
| M22 | Stevenage · Home27 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +15.89 |
| M23 | Newport County · Away30 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +15.41 |
| M24 | Northampton · Away2 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +14.14 |
| M25 | Doncaster · Home7 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +15.34 |
| M26 | Barrow · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +14.68 |
| M27 | Stevenage · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +13.65 |
| M28 | Tranmere · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +12.46 |
| M29 | AFC Wimbledon · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +13.81 |
| M30 | Crewe · Away7 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +15.10 |
| M31 | Walsall · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +14.80 |
| M32 | Rochdale · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +15.77 |
| M33 | Crawley Town · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +16.61 |
| M34 | Grimsby · Away25 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +16.20 |
| M35 | Swindon · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +15.36 |
| M36 | Colchester · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +14.40 |
| M37 | Hartlepool · Away25 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +13.69 |
| M38 | Carlisle · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +15.12 |
| M39 | Salford · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +17.05 |
| M40 | Harrogate · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | +16.07 |
| M41 | Sutton · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +17.59 |
| M42 | Gillingham · Away18 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +16.06 |
| M43 | Crewe · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +16.89 |
| M44 | Mansfield · Away25 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | +19.13 |
| M45 | Stockport · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +18.10 |
| M46 | Bradford · Away8 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +18.09 |
| Total | 91 | +18.09 | |||