Points
75Points expected by the market
74.82Gap
+0.18Yield
−1.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 39 | −2.59 | −12.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 31 | +4.06 | +14.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.02 | +76.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 27 | −6.07 | −31.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.68 | +70.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.48 | +57.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +1.38 | +4.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.02 | +76.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Salford · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.35 |
| M2 | Tranmere · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.34 |
| M3 | Leyton Orient · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.56 |
| M4 | AFC Wimbledon · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.58 |
| M5 | Stockport · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.99 |
| M6 | Sutton · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.49 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.88 |
| M8 | Carlisle · Home13 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.10 |
| M9 | Gillingham · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.33 |
| M10 | Crewe · Away24 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.66 |
| M11 | Hartlepool · Home30 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.18 | +1.47 |
| M12 | Barrow · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.95 |
| M13 | Walsall · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +4.01 |
| M14 | Crawley Town · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | +2.33 |
| M15 | Newport County · Home25 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.56 |
| M16 | Swindon · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.77 | −0.21 |
| M17 | Bradford · Home8 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.91 |
| M18 | Rochdale · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.43 |
| M19 | Harrogate · Away19 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.98 |
| M20 | Colchester · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | −0.95 |
| M21 | Stevenage · Away10 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.06 |
| M22 | Northampton · Home26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.64 |
| M23 | Hartlepool · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.30 |
| M24 | Walsall · Away1 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.80 |
| M25 | Barrow · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −3.57 |
| M26 | Crewe · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −4.63 |
| M27 | Doncaster · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.24 |
| M28 | Bradford · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.54 |
| M29 | Gillingham · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.18 |
| M30 | Carlisle · Away14 Feb 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.28 |
| M31 | Tranmere · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.30 |
| M32 | Salford · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.38 |
| M33 | AFC Wimbledon · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.15 |
| M34 | Northampton · Away14 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.14 |
| M35 | Stockport · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.02 |
| M36 | Grimsby · Home22 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.83 |
| M37 | Sutton · Home25 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.34 |
| M38 | Crawley Town · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −0.29 |
| M39 | Swindon · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.23 |
| M40 | Rochdale · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +0.39 |
| M41 | Grimsby · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.08 |
| M42 | Newport County · Away18 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.54 |
| M43 | Stevenage · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.16 |
| M44 | Leyton Orient · Home25 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +1.17 |
| M45 | Harrogate · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.12 | −0.95 |
| M46 | Colchester · Away8 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.18 |
| Total | 75 | +0.18 | |||