Points
57Points expected by the market
64.23Gap
−7.23Yield
−20.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 18 | −4.76 | −23.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 34 | −2.86 | −21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.40 | −0.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 15 | −6.14 | −35.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −5.26 | −50.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +2.39 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.40 | −0.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sutton · Away30 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.20 |
| M2 | Walsall · Home6 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.80 |
| M3 | Bradford · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.94 |
| M4 | Salford · Home16 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.47 |
| M5 | Tranmere · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −3.12 |
| M6 | Harrogate · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −1.51 |
| M7 | Grimsby · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.13 |
| M8 | Stevenage · Away13 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.07 |
| M9 | Barrow · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −5.60 |
| M10 | Carlisle · Home24 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −6.17 |
| M11 | Leyton Orient · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −4.00 |
| M12 | Swindon · Away4 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.18 |
| M13 | Rochdale · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.79 |
| M14 | Crawley Town · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −8.18 |
| M15 | Colchester · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −6.80 |
| M16 | Mansfield · Away25 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −6.76 |
| M17 | Northampton · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.92 |
| M18 | Stockport · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.08 |
| M19 | Gillingham · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −6.92 |
| M20 | Crewe · Away2 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −5.39 |
| M21 | Doncaster · Home10 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −7.16 |
| M22 | AFC Wimbledon · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −7.41 |
| M23 | Leyton Orient · Home30 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −7.63 |
| M24 | Crawley Town · Home2 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | −8.71 |
| M25 | Rochdale · Away7 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −9.11 |
| M26 | Carlisle · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −10.21 |
| M27 | Swindon · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −8.54 |
| M28 | Barrow · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −6.79 |
| M29 | Stevenage · Home14 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −7.16 |
| M30 | Walsall · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −7.36 |
| M31 | Hartlepool · Away21 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −5.94 |
| M32 | Sutton · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −7.41 |
| M33 | Salford · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −8.61 |
| M34 | Grimsby · Away7 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −8.71 |
| M35 | Bradford · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −9.14 |
| M36 | AFC Wimbledon · Home14 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −9.94 |
| M37 | Tranmere · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −8.22 |
| M38 | Colchester · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.50 |
| M39 | Northampton · Home7 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −6.83 |
| M40 | Stockport · Away10 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −7.60 |
| M41 | Hartlepool · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −6.42 |
| M42 | Mansfield · Home18 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −7.73 |
| M43 | Doncaster · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −6.35 |
| M44 | Harrogate · Home25 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.77 | −8.12 |
| M45 | Gillingham · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −6.26 |
| M46 | Crewe · Home8 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | −7.23 |
| Total | 57 | −7.23 | |||