← League Two 2022-23

Rochdale

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LDLWD

Points

Points expected by the market

54.37

Gap

−16.37

Yield

−35.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	1	9.75	−8.75	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	23	27	28.75	−1.75	−8.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	10	15.87	−5.87	−49.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	1	9.75	−8.75	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	15	15.84	−0.84	−8.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	4	5.02	−1.02	−16.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	12	12.91	−0.91	−8.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	6	10.85	−4.85	−62.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Crewe · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 1-2	2.03	1.66	0	−1.66	−1.66	−€1.00
M2	Gillingham · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.91	1.26	0	−1.26	−2.93	−€1.00
M3	Grimsby · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.64	1.36	0	−1.36	−4.29	−€1.00
M4	Stevenage · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-1	4.65	0.86	0	−0.86	−5.15	−€1.00
M5	Swindon · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 0-3	3.20	1.16	0	−1.16	−6.31	−€1.00
M6	Crawley Town · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.12	1.61	1	−0.61	−6.92	−€1.00
M7	Carlisle · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	D 3-3	3.43	1.11	1	−0.11	−7.03	−€1.00
M8	Leyton Orient · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 0-1	3.09	1.20	0	−1.20	−8.22	−€1.00
M9	Northampton · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 0-3	4.30	0.93	0	−0.93	−9.15	−€1.00
M10	Colchester · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	W 1-0	3.27	1.14	3	+1.86	−7.30	+€2.27
M11	Doncaster · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 1-2	2.13	1.60	0	−1.60	−8.89	−€1.00
M12	Newport County · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	W 1-0	3.37	1.11	3	+1.89	−7.01	+€2.37
M13	Barrow · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.64	1.37	3	+1.63	−5.38	+€1.64
M14	AFC Wimbledon · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	L 1-2	2.07	1.64	0	−1.64	−7.02	−€1.00
M15	Tranmere · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	D 1-1	3.97	1.00	1	0.00	−7.02	−€1.00
M16	Walsall · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 0-1	3.65	1.07	0	−1.07	−8.09	−€1.00
M17	Salford · Home8 Nov 2022	8 Nov 2022	W 1-0	2.66	1.35	3	+1.65	−6.44	+€1.66
M18	Mansfield · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 0-1	3.04	1.21	0	−1.21	−7.65	−€1.00
M19	Sutton · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 0-1	3.47	1.10	0	−1.10	−8.75	−€1.00
M20	Harrogate · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	L 1-4	2.06	1.64	0	−1.64	−10.39	−€1.00
M21	Hartlepool · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 1-2	2.11	1.61	0	−1.61	−12.00	−€1.00
M22	Doncaster · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 3-4	3.52	1.08	0	−1.08	−13.09	−€1.00
M23	Barrow · Away2 Jan 2023	2 Jan 2023	D 0-0	3.50	1.09	1	−0.09	−13.18	−€1.00
M24	Newport County · Home7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	D 1-1	2.82	1.30	1	−0.30	−13.48	−€1.00
M25	Bradford · Away10 Jan 2023	10 Jan 2023	W 2-1	4.47	0.89	3	+2.11	−11.37	+€3.47
M26	Colchester · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	L 1-2	2.53	1.42	0	−1.42	−12.79	−€1.00
M27	Hartlepool · Away21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	L 0-2	2.59	1.39	0	−1.39	−14.18	−€1.00
M28	Carlisle · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 0-1	3.52	1.09	0	−1.09	−15.27	−€1.00
M29	Salford · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 1-2	4.28	0.93	0	−0.93	−16.20	−€1.00
M30	Northampton · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 1-1	3.60	1.09	1	−0.09	−16.28	−€1.00
M31	Leyton Orient · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 1-2	6.19	0.71	0	−0.71	−17.00	−€1.00
M32	Gillingham · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 0-2	3.01	1.24	0	−1.24	−18.24	−€1.00
M33	Stockport · Home21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	L 1-2	4.81	0.86	0	−0.86	−19.10	−€1.00
M34	Crewe · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	D 1-1	2.77	1.33	1	−0.33	−19.43	−€1.00
M35	Stevenage · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	W 2-0	4.19	0.96	3	+2.04	−17.39	+€3.19
M36	Grimsby · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	L 0-1	4.36	0.92	0	−0.92	−18.31	−€1.00
M37	Swindon · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	D 4-4	2.77	1.31	1	−0.31	−18.61	−€1.00
M38	Crawley Town · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	L 0-2	3.35	1.11	0	−1.11	−19.73	−€1.00
M39	AFC Wimbledon · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	W 1-0	3.47	1.09	3	+1.91	−17.82	+€2.47
M40	Walsall · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 4-2	2.59	1.39	3	+1.61	−16.21	+€1.59
M41	Mansfield · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 1-1	4.47	0.90	1	+0.10	−16.11	−€1.00
M42	Bradford · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 0-3	3.77	1.02	0	−1.02	−17.13	−€1.00
M43	Tranmere · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	D 2-2	2.32	1.51	1	−0.51	−17.64	−€1.00
M44	Stockport · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 0-1	10.00	0.46	0	−0.46	−18.10	−€1.00
M45	Sutton · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 4-1	3.14	1.18	3	+1.82	−16.28	+€2.14
M46	Harrogate · Away8 May 2023	8 May 2023	D 1-1	3.35	1.09	1	−0.09	−16.37	−€1.00
Total					54.37	38	−16.37		−€16.20