Points
75Points expected by the market
67.70Gap
+7.30Yield
+22.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 22 | −6.07 | −30.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 43 | +10.45 | +42.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 10 | +5.07 | +126.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 16 | −5.38 | −41.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +4.73 | +49.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.70 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +5.73 | +36.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 10 | +5.07 | +126.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mansfield · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.64 |
| M2 | Swindon · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.45 |
| M3 | Crewe · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.78 |
| M4 | Newport County · Away16 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +4.61 |
| M5 | Doncaster · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +3.19 |
| M6 | Stevenage · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.72 |
| M7 | Crawley Town · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | +3.75 |
| M8 | Harrogate · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.14 |
| M9 | Tranmere · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | +3.27 |
| M10 | Sutton · Away24 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.06 |
| M11 | Grimsby · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +4.44 |
| M12 | Northampton · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +6.12 |
| M13 | Bradford · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +4.63 |
| M14 | Stockport · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +3.35 |
| M15 | Hartlepool · Away25 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.80 |
| M16 | Leyton Orient · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.91 |
| M17 | Rochdale · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +2.57 |
| M18 | AFC Wimbledon · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.94 |
| M19 | Carlisle · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.54 |
| M20 | Gillingham · Away3 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.19 |
| M21 | Barrow · Home26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.66 |
| M22 | Grimsby · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +3.63 |
| M23 | Bradford · Away1 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.46 |
| M24 | Northampton · Home7 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.19 |
| M25 | Sutton · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +5.69 |
| M26 | Colchester · Away24 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +5.46 |
| M27 | Crawley Town · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +3.88 |
| M28 | Walsall · Home31 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.43 |
| M29 | Rochdale · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.63 |
| M30 | Tranmere · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +5.48 |
| M31 | Harrogate · Home14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +4.69 |
| M32 | Swindon · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +3.12 |
| M33 | Mansfield · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +5.07 |
| M34 | Barrow · Away28 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +4.67 |
| M35 | Newport County · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +6.15 |
| M36 | Crewe · Away10 Mar 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.79 | +4.36 |
| M37 | Doncaster · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.43 |
| M38 | Stevenage · Away25 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +7.44 |
| M39 | Stockport · Away31 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +7.46 |
| M40 | Leyton Orient · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +5.82 |
| M41 | AFC Wimbledon · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +7.30 |
| M42 | Colchester · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | +5.51 |
| M43 | Hartlepool · Home18 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +6.42 |
| M44 | Walsall · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +7.71 |
| M45 | Carlisle · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | +9.45 |
| M46 | Gillingham · Home8 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | +7.30 |
| Total | 75 | +7.30 | |||