← League Two 2022-23

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Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DDWWD

Points

Points expected by the market

82.06

Gap

−3.06

Yield

−8.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	10	9.36	+0.64	+2.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	31	52	56.71	−4.71	−15.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	17	15.99	+1.01	+8.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	10	9.36	+0.64	+2.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	19	32	35.45	−3.45	−23.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	0	—	—	—	—
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	20	21.27	−1.27	−4.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	17	15.99	+1.01	+8.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Barrow · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 2-3	1.50	2.10	0	−2.10	−2.10	−€1.00
M2	Stevenage · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 1-2	2.34	1.50	0	−1.50	−3.60	−€1.00
M3	Colchester · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	W 1-0	1.51	2.09	3	+0.91	−2.68	+€0.51
M4	Doncaster · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 1-2	1.82	1.81	0	−1.81	−4.49	−€1.00
M5	Mansfield · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 1-2	2.82	1.28	0	−1.28	−5.77	−€1.00
M6	Swindon · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	1.68	1.92	1	−0.92	−6.69	−€1.00
M7	AFC Wimbledon · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 1-0	1.83	1.81	3	+1.19	−5.50	+€0.83
M8	Crawley Town · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 2-3	2.01	1.68	0	−1.68	−7.18	−€1.00
M9	Harrogate · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	D 0-0	1.65	1.95	1	−0.95	−8.13	−€1.00
M10	Northampton · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 1-2	2.58	1.40	0	−1.40	−9.52	−€1.00
M11	Walsall · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	D 1-1	1.83	1.82	1	−0.82	−10.34	−€1.00
M12	Bradford · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	W 1-0	2.51	1.42	3	+1.58	−8.76	+€1.51
M13	Grimsby · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	L 1-3	1.79	1.84	0	−1.84	−10.60	−€1.00
M14	Salford · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 2-0	2.50	1.42	3	+1.58	−9.02	+€1.50
M15	Carlisle · Home25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	W 2-0	1.84	1.79	3	+1.21	−7.82	+€0.84
M16	Sutton · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	W 3-0	1.77	1.86	3	+1.14	−6.67	+€0.77
M17	Tranmere · Away1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	D 0-0	2.57	1.39	1	−0.39	−7.07	−€1.00
M18	Newport County · Away12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	W 2-1	2.26	1.54	3	+1.46	−5.61	+€1.26
M19	Leyton Orient · Home19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 1-2	2.13	1.62	0	−1.62	−7.22	−€1.00
M20	Hartlepool · Away3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	W 5-0	1.63	1.97	3	+1.03	−6.19	+€0.63
M21	Crewe · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	W 2-0	1.38	2.24	3	+0.76	−5.43	+€0.38
M22	Walsall · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	W 2-0	2.20	1.58	3	+1.42	−4.01	+€1.20
M23	Grimsby · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	L 0-1	2.26	1.53	0	−1.53	−5.54	−€1.00
M24	Northampton · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 2-0	1.79	1.84	3	+1.16	−4.38	+€0.79
M25	Bradford · Home24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	D 0-0	1.60	2.00	1	−1.00	−5.38	−€1.00
M26	AFC Wimbledon · Away28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 0-1	1.86	1.79	0	−1.79	−7.17	−€1.00
M27	Crewe · Away31 Jan 2023	31 Jan 2023	D 1-1	1.55	2.06	1	−1.06	−8.23	−€1.00
M28	Tranmere · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 3-2	1.98	1.72	3	+1.28	−6.95	+€0.98
M29	Harrogate · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	W 3-1	1.91	1.75	3	+1.25	−5.71	+€0.91
M30	Crawley Town · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 2-1	1.43	2.19	3	+0.81	−4.89	+€0.43
M31	Stevenage · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 2-0	2.19	1.58	3	+1.42	−3.48	+€1.19
M32	Rochdale · Away21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	W 2-1	1.77	1.87	3	+1.13	−2.34	+€0.77
M33	Barrow · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 0-1	2.08	1.67	0	−1.67	−4.01	−€1.00
M34	Doncaster · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 0-0	1.68	1.95	1	−0.95	−4.96	−€1.00
M35	Gillingham · Home7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	D 0-0	1.60	2.02	1	−1.02	−5.97	−€1.00
M36	Colchester · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 1-0	2.05	1.67	3	+1.33	−4.64	+€1.05
M37	Mansfield · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	D 1-1	1.80	1.84	1	−0.84	−5.48	−€1.00
M38	Swindon · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	W 1-0	2.13	1.61	3	+1.39	−4.09	+€1.13
M39	Salford · Home31 Mar 2023	31 Mar 2023	D 1-1	1.93	1.74	1	−0.74	−4.83	−€1.00
M40	Sutton · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 1-0	2.47	1.46	3	+1.54	−3.29	+€1.47
M41	Newport County · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	W 4-0	1.66	1.96	3	+1.04	−2.25	+€0.66
M42	Gillingham · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	D 1-1	1.99	1.73	1	−0.73	−2.98	−€1.00
M43	Carlisle · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	D 2-2	2.43	1.48	1	−0.48	−3.45	−€1.00
M44	Rochdale · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 1-0	1.30	2.36	3	+0.64	−2.81	+€0.30
M45	Leyton Orient · Away29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 3-0	2.03	1.68	3	+1.32	−1.49	+€1.03
M46	Hartlepool · Home8 May 2023	8 May 2023	D 1-1	1.16	2.57	1	−1.57	−3.06	−€1.00
Total					82.06	79	−3.06		−€3.86