← League Two 2022-23

Sutton

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLLD

Points

Points expected by the market

64.48

Gap

−6.48

Yield

−26.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	23	17.95	+5.05	+31.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	30	33	40.60	−7.60	−31.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	2	5.93	−3.93	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	22	16.38	+5.62	+45.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	16	19.60	−3.60	−30.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	1	1.58	−0.58	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	17	21.00	−4.00	−32.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	2	5.93	−3.93	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Newport County · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	D 1-1	2.32	1.50	1	−0.50	−0.50	−€1.00
M2	Doncaster · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 1-2	2.45	1.45	0	−1.45	−1.96	−€1.00
M3	Barrow · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	W 1-0	2.30	1.52	3	+1.48	−0.48	+€1.30
M4	Crewe · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.76	1.30	0	−1.30	−1.78	−€1.00
M5	Grimsby · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 0-0	3.50	1.08	1	−0.08	−1.86	−€1.00
M6	Mansfield · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	W 2-1	2.97	1.23	3	+1.77	−0.10	+€1.97
M7	Harrogate · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 2-1	1.80	1.83	3	+1.17	+1.07	+€0.80
M8	Swindon · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 2-3	2.90	1.25	0	−1.25	−0.18	−€1.00
M9	Hartlepool · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	W 2-0	1.54	2.06	3	+0.94	+0.76	+€0.54
M10	Salford · Home24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 1-2	2.31	1.50	0	−1.50	−0.75	−€1.00
M11	Gillingham · Away1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 0-1	2.25	1.54	0	−1.54	−2.29	−€1.00
M12	Stevenage · Away4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	L 0-3	4.29	0.92	0	−0.92	−3.21	−€1.00
M13	Tranmere · Home8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 0-2	2.38	1.49	0	−1.49	−4.70	−€1.00
M14	AFC Wimbledon · Away15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	W 1-0	2.93	1.25	3	+1.75	−2.95	+€1.93
M15	Walsall · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.35	1.50	1	−0.50	−3.45	−€1.00
M16	Northampton · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	D 2-2	3.53	1.10	1	−0.10	−3.54	−€1.00
M17	Stockport · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 0-3	4.65	0.87	0	−0.87	−4.42	−€1.00
M18	Bradford · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 0-2	2.61	1.37	0	−1.37	−5.78	−€1.00
M19	Rochdale · Home19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	W 1-0	2.14	1.61	3	+1.39	−4.39	+€1.14
M20	Carlisle · Away3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	D 1-1	3.29	1.13	1	−0.13	−4.52	−€1.00
M21	Colchester · Home10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	W 1-0	2.02	1.67	3	+1.33	−3.20	+€1.02
M22	Leyton Orient · Away17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	L 0-2	4.86	0.85	0	−0.85	−4.05	−€1.00
M23	Crawley Town · Away26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	W 2-1	2.33	1.51	3	+1.49	−2.56	+€1.33
M24	Gillingham · Home29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	W 2-1	2.00	1.71	3	+1.29	−1.27	+€1.00
M25	AFC Wimbledon · Home1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	W 2-1	2.27	1.54	3	+1.46	+0.19	+€1.27
M26	Tranmere · Away7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	D 2-2	3.32	1.15	1	−0.15	+0.04	−€1.00
M27	Salford · Away14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	L 0-2	3.06	1.21	0	−1.21	−1.17	−€1.00
M28	Harrogate · Away28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 1-0	2.45	1.43	3	+1.57	+0.40	+€1.45
M29	Stevenage · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	D 0-0	2.78	1.32	1	−0.32	+0.08	−€1.00
M30	Hartlepool · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 2-2	2.19	1.58	1	−0.58	−0.50	−€1.00
M31	Swindon · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.21	1.56	3	+1.44	+0.94	+€1.21
M32	Doncaster · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 2-0	2.03	1.68	3	+1.32	+2.26	+€1.03
M33	Newport County · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 2-0	3.15	1.21	3	+1.79	+4.05	+€2.15
M34	Crewe · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 1-1	1.56	2.04	1	−1.04	+3.00	−€1.00
M35	Crawley Town · Home7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	W 3-0	1.58	2.02	3	+0.98	+3.98	+€0.58
M36	Barrow · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	D 0-0	2.75	1.34	1	−0.34	+3.65	−€1.00
M37	Grimsby · Home14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	L 0-1	1.92	1.75	0	−1.75	+1.89	−€1.00
M38	Mansfield · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	D 0-0	3.11	1.20	1	−0.20	+1.69	−€1.00
M39	Walsall · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	D 1-1	2.70	1.36	1	−0.36	+1.34	−€1.00
M40	Stockport · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	L 0-1	3.08	1.23	0	−1.23	+0.11	−€1.00
M41	Bradford · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 1-3	3.51	1.10	0	−1.10	−0.99	−€1.00
M42	Leyton Orient · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 0-2	3.11	1.22	0	−1.22	−2.21	−€1.00
M43	Northampton · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 1-2	2.64	1.37	0	−1.37	−3.58	−€1.00
M44	Colchester · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 1-4	3.38	1.12	0	−1.12	−4.71	−€1.00
M45	Rochdale · Away29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	L 1-4	2.24	1.54	0	−1.54	−6.24	−€1.00
M46	Carlisle · Home8 May 2023	8 May 2023	D 1-1	2.97	1.24	1	−0.24	−6.48	−€1.00
Total					64.48	58	−6.48		−€12.28