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← League Two 2023-24

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Season 2023-24 · 46 matches played

Last 5LDLLD

Points

69

Points expected by the market

65.78

Gap

+3.22

Yield

−10.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 19 37 33.25 +3.75 +15.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 30 26.81 +3.19 −8.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 2 5.73 −3.73 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Tranmere · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 W 2-1 2.92 1.26 3 +1.74 +1.74 +€1.92
M2 Sutton · Home12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 W 2-1 2.18 1.59 3 +1.41 +3.15 +€1.18
M3 Accrington · Away15 Aug 2023 15 Aug 2023 D 1-1 2.93 1.26 1 −0.26 +2.89 −€1.00
M4 Stockport · Away19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 0-1 5.20 0.80 0 −0.80 +2.09 −€1.00
M5 Wrexham · Home26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 D 1-1 3.12 1.17 1 −0.17 +1.93 −€1.00
M6 Harrogate · Away2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 W 1-0 2.59 1.38 3 +1.62 +3.55 +€1.59
M7 Newport County · Away16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 D 1-1 3.55 1.08 1 −0.08 +3.48 −€1.00
M8 Mansfield · Away23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 L 0-1 6.14 0.69 0 −0.69 +2.78 −€1.00
M9 Doncaster · Home30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 3-2 2.07 1.64 3 +1.36 +4.14 +€1.07
M10 Grimsby · Away3 Oct 2023 3 Oct 2023 L 1-2 3.54 1.09 0 −1.09 +3.06 −€1.00
M11 Notts County · Home7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 D 1-1 3.06 1.18 1 −0.18 +2.87 −€1.00
M12 Milton Keynes Dons · Away14 Oct 2023 14 Oct 2023 D 2-2 3.62 1.06 1 −0.06 +2.82 −€1.00
M13 AFC Wimbledon · Home21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 D 0-0 2.79 1.30 1 −0.30 +2.52 −€1.00
M14 Forest Green · Away24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 W 2-0 2.79 1.29 3 +1.71 +4.23 +€1.79
M15 Salford · Home28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 D 0-0 1.89 1.75 1 −0.75 +3.48 −€1.00
M16 Morecambe · Home31 Oct 2023 31 Oct 2023 W 1-0 2.05 1.65 3 +1.35 +4.82 +€1.05
M17 Bradford · Away11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 W 2-1 3.37 1.13 3 +1.87 +6.69 +€2.37
M18 Crawley Town · Home18 Nov 2023 18 Nov 2023 W 1-0 1.89 1.76 3 +1.24 +7.94 +€0.89
M19 Colchester · Away25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 W 4-1 2.58 1.37 3 +1.63 +9.56 +€1.58
M20 Walsall · Home28 Nov 2023 28 Nov 2023 W 2-0 1.93 1.73 3 +1.27 +10.84 +€0.93
M21 Swindon · Away16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 W 3-0 2.51 1.37 3 +1.63 +12.46 +€1.51
M22 Crewe · Away22 Dec 2023 22 Dec 2023 W 3-1 2.16 1.57 3 +1.43 +13.89 +€1.16
M23 Stockport · Home26 Dec 2023 26 Dec 2023 D 2-2 2.68 1.36 1 −0.36 +13.53 −€1.00
M24 Accrington · Home29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 D 1-1 1.75 1.86 1 −0.86 +12.67 −€1.00
M25 Wrexham · Away1 Jan 2024 1 Jan 2024 L 1-4 3.66 1.02 0 −1.02 +11.64 −€1.00
M26 Tranmere · Home6 Jan 2024 6 Jan 2024 W 1-0 2.00 1.70 3 +1.30 +12.95 +€1.00
M27 Sutton · Away13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 D 2-2 2.05 1.66 1 −0.66 +12.29 −€1.00
M28 Crewe · Home20 Jan 2024 20 Jan 2024 L 1-3 1.85 1.79 0 −1.79 +10.50 −€1.00
M29 Notts County · Away27 Jan 2024 27 Jan 2024 D 1-1 3.44 1.07 1 −0.07 +10.43 −€1.00
M30 Milton Keynes Dons · Home3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.40 1.47 3 +1.53 +11.96 +€1.40
M31 AFC Wimbledon · Away10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 L 0-2 3.10 1.19 0 −1.19 +10.77 −€1.00
M32 Forest Green · Home13 Feb 2024 13 Feb 2024 L 1-2 1.64 1.96 0 −1.96 +8.81 −€1.00
M33 Salford · Away17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 L 3-5 2.88 1.25 0 −1.25 +7.56 −€1.00
M34 Gillingham · Home5 Mar 2024 5 Mar 2024 W 2-0 2.18 1.59 3 +1.41 +8.97 +€1.18
M35 Colchester · Home9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 W 2-0 1.97 1.70 3 +1.30 +10.27 +€0.97
M36 Walsall · Away12 Mar 2024 12 Mar 2024 D 1-1 3.30 1.14 1 −0.14 +10.13 −€1.00
M37 Harrogate · Home16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 D 0-0 1.56 2.05 1 −1.05 +9.08 −€1.00
M38 Newport County · Home23 Mar 2024 23 Mar 2024 W 1-0 1.74 1.88 3 +1.12 +10.20 +€0.74
M39 Grimsby · Home29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 W 3-1 1.86 1.79 3 +1.21 +11.41 +€0.86
M40 Morecambe · Away1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 L 1-2 2.06 1.64 0 −1.64 +9.77 −€1.00
M41 Swindon · Home6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 L 0-2 1.64 1.95 0 −1.95 +7.83 −€1.00
M42 Gillingham · Away13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 0-3 2.74 1.33 0 −1.33 +6.50 −€1.00
M43 Crawley Town · Away16 Apr 2024 16 Apr 2024 D 1-1 2.97 1.22 1 −0.22 +6.27 −€1.00
M44 Doncaster · Away20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 L 2-4 3.29 1.13 0 −1.13 +5.14 −€1.00
M45 Bradford · Home23 Apr 2024 23 Apr 2024 L 1-2 2.36 1.48 0 −1.48 +3.66 −€1.00
M46 Mansfield · Home27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 D 1-1 2.39 1.45 1 −0.45 +3.22 −€1.00
Total 65.78 69 +3.22 −€4.81